Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns - 12/30/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports
Cleveland Browns (7-7-1) at Baltimore Ravens (9-6)
NFL Football: Sunday, December 30, 2018 at 4:25 pm (M&T Bank Stadium)
The Line: Baltimore Ravens -5.5 -- Over/Under: 41
The Cleveland Browns and Baltimore Ravens meet Sunday in NFL action at M&T Bank Stadium.
The Cleveland Browns look to play spoiler after winning five of their last six games. The Cleveland Browns have lost five of their last seven road games. Baker Mayfield is completing 64.6 percent of his passes for 3,394 yards, 24 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Mayfield has two or more touchdown passes in seven of his last nine games. Jarvis Landry and David Njoku have combined for 1,451 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Antonio Callaway has 39 receptions. The Cleveland Browns ground game is averaging 122.9 yards per contest, and Nick Chubb leads the way with 972 yards and eight touchdowns. Defensively, Cleveland is allowing 24.4 points and 388.3 yards per game. Jamie Collins Sr. leads the Cleveland Browns with 95 tackles, Myles Garrett has 12.5 sacks and Damarious Randall has four interceptions.
The Baltimore Ravens hope to clinch a playoff spot after winning five of their last six games. The Baltimore Ravens have won their last three home games. Lamar Jackson is completing 58.2 percent of his passes for 1,022 yards, six touchdowns and three interceptions. Jackson enters this game with 146 career pass attempts under his belt. John Brown and Willie Snead IV have combined for 1,334 receiving yards and six touchdowns while Michael Crabtree has 52 receptions. The Baltimore Ravens ground game is averaging 143 yards per contest, and Gus Edwards leads the way with 642 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Baltimore is allowing 17.5 points and 284.1 yards per game. C.J. Mosley leads the Baltimore Ravens with 99 tackles, Za'Darius Smith has 8.5 sacks and Brandon Carr has two interceptions.
The Browns are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC, 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 vs. AFC North and 18-38-1 ATS in their last 57 games overall. The Ravens are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC North and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Browns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings and the favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The under is 9-4 in Ravens last 13 games overall. The under is 3-0-1 in Browns last 4 games overall.
The Cleveland Browns have been able to turn their close losses into victories, as they've lost just once since week 10 and are outscoring teams by an average of five points during their three-game winning streak. The Baltimore Ravens have lost just once since their bye week in week 10, and they have a defense that's allowed 21 or less points in five of their last six games. The Ravens are allowing just 16.25 points in their last four games. The Cleveland Browns have covered six of their last nine games when an underdog of at least three points. The Baltimore Ravens have failed to cover five of their last eight games when a favorite of at least three points. The Ravens obviously have more to play for at this point and are a physical bunch that will test the Browns. The problem is the Browns beat the Ravens earlier this year in overtime and seem to continue thriving in the underdog role despite not having anything to play for. The Browns are enjoying themselves right now. I have to side with the points here based on the Browns being up for every game this season and finally starting to finish these games as well.