Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars - 12/30/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Douglas DeFelice-USA TODAY Sports
Jacksonville Jaguars (5-10) at Houston Texans (10-5)
NFL Football: Sunday, December 30, 2018 at 1:00 pm (NRG Stadium)
The Line: Houston Texans -7.5 -- Over/Under: 40.5
The Jacksonville Jaguars and Houston Texans meet Sunday in NFL action at NRG Stadium.
The Jacksonville Jaguars look to play spoiler after losing seven of their last nine games. The Jacksonville Jaguars have lost five of their last six road games. Cody Kessler is completing 64.9 percent of his passes for 709 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. Kessler and Blake Bortles have combined for 15 touchdown passes and 12 interceptions this season. Dede Westbrook and Donte Moncrief have combined for 1,354 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while T.J. Yeldon has 55 receptions. The Jacksonville Jaguars ground game is averaging 111.9 yards per contest, and Leonard Fournette leads the way with 439 yards and five touchdowns. Defensively, Jacksonville is allowing 19.7 points and 309.4 yards per game. Telvin Smith leads the Jacksonville Jaguars with 124 tackles, Calais Campbell has nine sacks and Jalen Ramsey has three interceptions.
The Houston Texans need a victory here in order to keep their hopes of a top-two seed alive. The Houston Texans have won five of their last six home games. Deshaun Watson is completing 68.1 percent of his passes for 3,931 yards, 26 touchdowns and nine interceptions. Watson has two or more touchdown passes in 13 of his last 20 games. DeAndre Hopkins and Ryan Griffin have combined for 1,722 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns while Keke Coutee has 28 receptions. The Houston Texans ground game is averaging 125.8 yards per contest, and Lamar Miller leads the way with 917 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Houston is allowing 20.9 points and 358.1 yards per game. Zach Cunningham leads the Houston Texans with 101 tackles, J.J. Watt has 14.5 sacks and Justin Reid has three interceptions.
The Jaguars are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games, 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games on fieldturf and 2-7-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The Texans are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC, 4-9 ATS in their last 13 vs. AFC South and 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games overall. The Jaguars are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Houston. The under is 12-5 in Texans last 17 vs. AFC. The over is 4-1 in Jaguars last 5 road games.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have a chance to win back-to-back games for the first time since the first two weeks of the season, and five of their last six losses have been decided by six or less points. The Houston Texans need a victory here to give themselves any shot of getting the second seed in the AFC, and they're outscoring teams by 12.25 points in their last four home games. The Jacksonville Jaguars have covered eight of their last nine games when an underdog of at least seven points. The Houston Texans are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games when a favorite of at least seven points. The Texans beat the Jags by 13 points earlier this season, and that was before the Jagaurs were awful and the Texans were stringing together victories. The Texans have been a much more consistent home team since their bye week and have the offensive firepower to pull away from the Jaguars, regardless of who plays quarterback. I'll take the Texans in a double-digit victory.