Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans - 12/30/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Thomas J. Russo-USA TODAY Sports
Indianapolis Colts (9-6) at Tennessee Titans (9-6)
NFL Football: Sunday, December 30, 2018 at 8:20 pm (Nissan Stadium)
The Line: Tennessee Titans +3 -- Over/Under: 43
The Indianapolis Colts and Tennessee Titans meet Sunday in NFL action at Nissan Stadium.
The Indianapolis Colts look for a fourth straight victory to reach the playoffs for the first time since the 2014 season. The Indianapolis Colts have lost four of their last six road games. Andrew Luck is completing 67.2 percent of his passes for 4,308 yards, 36 touchdowns and 14 interceptions. Luck has three or more touchdown passes in eight of his last 12 games. T.Y. Hilton and Eric Ebron have combined for 1,899 receiving yards and 18 touchdowns while Chester Rogers has 50 receptions. The Indianapolis Colts ground game is averaging 104 yards per contest, and Marlon Mack leads the way with 789 yards and eight touchdowns. Defensively, Indianapolis is allowing 21.8 points and 344.9 yards per game. Darius Leonard leads the Indianapolis Colts with 155 tackles, Denico Autry has nine sacks and Kenny Moore II has two interceptions.
The Tennessee Titans look for a fifth straight victory to reach the playoffs back-to-back years for the first time since 2008-07. The Tennessee Titans have won their last four home games. Marcus Mariota is completing 68.9 percent of his passes for 2,528 yards, 11 touchdowns and eight interceptions. Mariota has one or less touchdown passes in six of his last 11 games. Corey Davis and Taywan Taylor have combined for 1,301 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Dion Lewis has 56 receptions. The Tennessee Titans ground game is averaging 128.7 yards per contest, and Derrick Henry leads the way with 966 yards and 12 touchdowns. Defensively, Tennessee is allowing 18 points and 326.5 yards per game. Wesley Woodyard leads the Tennessee Titans with 99 tackles, Jurrell Casey has seven sacks and Kevin Byard has four interceptions.
The Colts are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 6-13-2 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up win. The Titans are 20-45-4 ATS in their last 69 vs. AFC, 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 home games and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 vs. AFC South. The Colts are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 meetings and the favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. The under is 5-1 in Colts last 6 games overall. The over is 4-1 in Titans last 5 games overall.
The Indianapolis Colts are winning by an average of nine points during their three-game winning streak, but four of their six losses have come on the road this season. The Tennessee Titans are winning by an average of 12.5 points during their four-game winning streak and they haven't lost a true home game since Week 6. The Indianapolis Colts are 4-4-1 ATS in their last nine games when a favorite of at least three points. The Tennessee Titans have covered eight of their last 10 games when an underdog of at least three points. I'm not sure why the Colts are favored on the road in this game given their road struggles. I expect Marcus Mariota to play, and that ground game along with the Titans defense should be able to buly a soft Colts team. It's likely going to rain in this contest and that favors the Titans with its physical ground attack. I'll take the free field goal, but I'll also be on the ML.