Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans - 12/30/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans - 12/30/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by Douglas DeFelice-USA TODAY Sports

Jacksonville Jaguars (5-10) at Houston Texans (10-5)

NFL Football: Sunday, December 30, 2018 at 1:00 pm (NRG Stadium)

The Line: Houston Texans -6.5 -- Over/Under: 40.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Jacksonville Jaguars and the Houston Texans meet in a week 17 AFC South division matchup from NRG Stadium in NFL action on Sunday afternoon.

The Jacksonville Jaguars come into this game looking to finish the season on a high-note after a 17-7 win over Miami in their last outing. Cody Kessler has thrown for 709 yards, 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 64.9% passing while Leonard Fournette leads the Jags in rushing with 439 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns this season. Dede Westbrook leads Jacksonville with 63 catches for 707 yards and 5 touchdowns while Donte Moncrief has 46 catches for 647 yards and 3 touchdowns this season. Defensively, Calais Campbell leads Jacksonville with 9 sacks and Yannick Ngakoue has 8 sacks while Telvin Smith Sr. leads the Jaguars with 92 tackles this season. As a team, Jacksonville is averaging 314.2 yards of total offense and 16.1 points per game this season.

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The Houston Texans will look for a win to lock up their division after falling to Philadelphia by a final score of 32-30 in their last outing. Deshaun Watson has thrown for 3,931 yards, 26 touchdowns and 9 interceptions on 68.1% passing while Lamar Miller has rushed for a team-high 917 yards and 4 touchdowns. DeAndre Hopkins leads Houston’s receiving corps with 103 catches for 1,425 yards and 11 touchdowns this season. Defensively, J.J. Watt leads the Texans with 14.5 sacks while Jadeveon Clowney has 9 sacks and Tyrann Mathieu leads the Houston defense with 69 tackles this season. As a team, Houston is averaging 364 yards of total offense and 25.5 points per game this season.

Jacksonville is 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 division games and 2-7-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 road games. Houston is 4-9 ATS in their last 13 division games and 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games overall while the under is 12-5 in their last 17 games against the AFC. Jacksonville is 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings between these two teams in Houston.

The Jaguars have had a lot of success against the Texans, but a lot of those came when these two teams were on the same level or the Jaguars ahead. Houston’s receiving corps has been decimated due to injury, but it hasn’t stopped the Texans from winning football games or still putting up solid offensive showings in a losing effort. The Texans also have a slim chance at the top seed in the conference with a lot of help, and could clinch a first round bye, but first and foremost, the Texans clinch the division with a win here. I just think the Jaguars are ready for the season to end, so I’ll lay the points with the Texans in this spot.  

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Chris’s Pick Houston -6.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.