Kansas City Chiefs vs. Oakland Raiders - 12/30/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY Sports
Oakland Raiders (4-11) at Kansas City Chiefs (11-4)
NFL Football: Sunday, December 30, 2018 at 4:25 pm (Arrowhead Stadium)
The Line: Kansas City Chiefs -13.5 -- Over/Under: 54
The Oakland Raiders and Kansas City Chiefs meet Sunday in NFL action at Arrowhead Stadium.
The Oakland Raiders look to play spoiler after splitting their last six games. The Oakland Raiders have lost six of their last seven road games. Derek Carr is completing 68.5 percent of his passes for 3,864 yards, 19 touchdowns and eight interceptions. Carr has one or less touchdown passes in 10 of his last 15 games. Jared Cook and Jordy Nelson have combined for 1,529 receiving yards and nine touchdowns while Jalen Richard has 66 receptions. The Oakland Raiders ground game is averaging 100.1 yards per contest, and Doug Martin leads the way with 623 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Oakland is allowing 28.8 points and 379.5 yards per game. Tahir Whitehead leads the Oakland Raiders with 117 tackles, Maurice Hurst has four sacks and Marcus Gilchrist has three interceptions.
The Kansas City Chiefs look for a bounce back victory before the playoffs after splitting their last six games. The Kansas City Chiefs have won six of their last seven home games. Patrick Mahomes is completing 66.4 percent of his passes for 4,816 yards, 48 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Mahomes has three or more touchdown passes in 10 of the 16 games this season. Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce have combined for 2,652 receiving yards and 21 touchdowns while Sammy Watkins has 40 receptions. The Kansas City Chiefs ground game is averaging 117.1 yards per contest, and Mahomes leads the way with 271 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Kansas City is allowing 27.1 points and 409.4 yards per game. Anthony Hitchens leads the Kansas City Chiefs with 126 tackles, Chris Jones has 15.5 sacks and Steven Nelson has four interceptions.
The Raiders are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass and 15-35-1 ATS in their last 51 games following a ATS win. The Chiefs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games, 12-4 ATS in their last 16 vs. AFC West and 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Raiders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Kansas City and the home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. The over is 5-0 in Chiefs last 5 games overall. The under is 15-6-1 in Raiders last 22 games overall.
The Oakland Raiders are coming off probably their best game of the season in a blowout win over the Denver Broncos, but they're being outscored by an average of 15 points in their last four road games. The Kansas City Chiefs need a victory here to lockup the top seed in the AFC, but six of their last eight games have resulted in either a loss or a victory of seven or less points. The Oakland Raiders have split their last 10 games ATS when a double-digit underdog. The Kansas City Chiefs have failed to cover five of their last six games when a double-digit favorite. The Raiders hung around with the Chiefs in the meeting earlier this season and AFC West games overall usually are tight. I'm just not looking to lay double-digit chalk with a Kansas City team that's been shaky recently and continues to getgashed defensively. There's better games on Sunday's card, but if forced to pick, I'd want the Raiders and the boatload of points.