Los Angeles Chargers at Denver Broncos - 12/30/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Jake Roth-USA TODAY Sports
Los Angeles Chargers (11-4) at Denver Broncos (6-9)
NFL Football: Sunday, December 30, 2018 at 4:25 pm (Sports Authority Field at Mile High)
The Line: Denver Broncos +6.5 -- Over/Under: 41.5
The Los Angeles Chargers and Denver Broncos meet Sunday in NFL action at Broncos Stadium at Mile High.
The Los Angeles Chargers look to avoid back-to-back losses for the first time this season. The Los Angeles Chargers have won each of their last six non-home games. Philip Rivers is completing 68.8 percent of his passes for 4,132 yards, 31 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Rivers has two or more touchdown passes in 14 of his last 16 games. Keenan Allen and Tyrell Williams have combined for 1,762 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns while Mike Williams has 38 receptions. The Los Angeles Chargers ground game is averaging 117.1 yards per contest, and Melvin Gordon leads the way with 843 yards and 10 touchdowns. Defensively, Los Angeles is allowing 21.3 points and 331.3 yards per game. Derwin James leads the Los Angeles Chargers with 99 tackles, Melvin Ingram has seven sacks and Desmond King has three interceptions.
The Denver Broncos look to play spoiler while snapping a three-game losing streak. The Denver Broncos have lost four of their last five home games. Case Keenum is completing 62.1 percent of his passes for 3,598 yards, 17 touchdowns and 14 interceptions. Keenum has one or less touchdown passes in nine of his last 14 games. Emmanuel Sanders and Courtland Sutton have combined for 1,547 receiving yards and eight touchdowns while Jeff Heuerman has 31 receptions. The Denver Broncos ground game is averaging 121.7 yards per contest, and Phillip Lindsay leads the way with 1,037 yards and nine touchdowns. Defensively, Denver is allowing 21.7 points and 371.1 yards per game. Todd Davis leads the Denver Broncos with 108 tackles, Von Miller has 14.5 sacks and Chris Harris Jr. has three interceptions.
The Chargers are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 road games, 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games in December and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss. The Broncos are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 vs. AFC, 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 home games and 8-18-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall. The Chargers are 8-2-5 ATS in their last 15 meetings in Denver and the underdog is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. The under is 16-5-1 in Broncos last 22 games overall. The over is 5-2 in Chargers last 7 road games.
The Los Angeles Chargers have won six straight games outside of LA when you include their trip to London, and they've won their last four road games by an average of 6.75 points. The Denver Broncos are a team that seems to have checked out and a blowout road loss to the Oakland Raiders is further evidence that these guys are ready for a vacation. The Los Angeles Chargers have split their last eight games ATS when a favorite of at least six points. The Denver Broncos are 3-5-1 ATS in their last nine games when an underdog of at least six points. AFC West games are usually very tight and the Chargers have the ability to make games interesting regardless of who they play. The problem is it's hard to back the Broncos after losing three straight games to losing teams. The Chargers should get the job done in this contest.