Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cincinnati Bengals - 12/30/18 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Aaron Doster-USA TODAY Sports
Cincinnati Bengals (6-9) at Pittsburgh Steelers (8-6-1)
NFL Football: Sunday, December 30, 2018 at 4:25 pm (Heinz Field)
The Line: Pittsburgh Steelers -14 -- Over/Under: 45.5
The Cincinnati Bengals and Pittsburgh Steelers meet Sunday in NFL action at Heinz Field.
The Cincinnati Bengals look to play spoiler after losing six of their last seven games. The Cincinnati Bengals have lost each of their last four road games. Jeff Driskel is completing 61.2 percent of his passes for 908 yards, six touchdowns and two interceptions. Driskel has one or more touchdown passes in each of his last five games. Tyler Boyd and A.J. Green have combined for 1,732 receiving yards and 13 touchdowns while C.J. Uzomah has 42 receptions. The Cincinnati Bengals ground game is averaging 103.8 yards per contest, and Joe Mixon leads the way with 1,063 yards and eight touchdowns. Defensively, Cincinnati is allowing 29.3 points and 418.3 yards per game. Jessie Bates leads the Cincinnati Bengals with 108 tackles, Geno Atkins has 10 sacks and Shawn Williams has four interceptions.
The Pittsburgh Steelers need a victory here to have any chance of sneaking into the AFC playoffs. The Pittsburgh Steelers have won four of their last five home games. Ben Roethlisberger is completing 66.8 percent of his passes for 4,842 yards, 33 touchdowns and 15 interceptions. Roethlisberger has two or more touchdown passes in eight of his last nine games. JuJu Smith-Schuster and Antonio Brown have combined for 2,686 receiving yards and 21 touchdowns while Vance McDonald has 47 receptions. The Pittsburgh Steelers ground game is averaging 92 yards per contest, and James Conner leads the way with 909 yards and 12 touchdowns. Defensively, Pittsburgh is allowing 23.1 points and 335.9 yards per game. Sean Davis leads the Pittsburgh Steelers with 80 tackles, T.J. Watt has 12 sacks and Joe Haden has two interceptions.
The Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games, 12-4 ATS in their last 16 vs. AFC and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. AFC North. The Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games, 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC and 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The Bengals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Pittsburgh and 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 meetings. The over is 4-1 in Steelers last 5 home games. The under is 2-0-2 in Bengals last 4 games overall.
The Cincinnati Bengals are a complete mess due to injuries and coaching changes, but each of their last five losses have been decided by 15 or less points, so they've been able to put up a fight for the most part. The Pittsburgh Steelers are coming off a heartbreaking loss to the New Orleans Saints, and with each of their last three losses being decided by three points, it's fair to question how much fight this team has left with their playoff hopes on life support. The Cincinnati Bengals have failed to cover six of their last eight games as a double-digit underdog. The Pittsburgh Steelers have failed to cover each of their last four games as a double-digit favorite. I'm not playing with the line in this game, as the Steelers don't deserve to be monster favorites against anyone and the Bengals put up a fight despite their circumstances. Instead, I'll take the over. The over is a popular trend with the Bengals on the road and the Steelers at home. The Steelers have also scored 30 or more points in four of their last five home games, so they can do most of the heavy lifting.