Breaking Down The Dallas Cowboys Win Total
2020 NFL Season
Dallas Cowboys: 9.5 wins -- Super Bowl Odds: 20/1 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds
The Dallas Cowboys have underachieved the last 20 years, and it forced them to make a coaching change by bringing in Mike McCarthy. The good news for Cowboys fans is that they haven’t missed the playoffs back-to-back years since 2012-13. The Cowboys win total is set at 9.5 victories, and this is a franchise that’s won double-digit games just three times since 2010.
Subtractions: Center Travis Frederick suddenly retired at 29 years old. Frederick was a five-time Pro Bowl selection and a first-team all-pro in 2016. The Cowboys lose Randall Cobb after one season where he had 55 receptions, 828 yards and three touchdowns. Tight end Jason Witten leaves the Cowboys for the first time in his career. Witten is first all-time in Cowboys history in receptions and receiving yards, and he’s second in touchdown receptions. Defensively, the Cowboys say goodbye to a lot of contributors from last season including defensive tackle Maliek Collins, safety Jeff Heath, cornerback Byron Jones and defensive end Robert Quinn. The biggest loss in that group is obviously Jones, as he’s proven to be one of the better young corners in the league and had 349 total tackles, two interceptions and 43 pass deflections in five seasons with Dallas.
Additions: The Cowboys focused on the defensive side this offseason and added three heavy hitters in Gerald McCoy, Dontari Poe and Ha Ha Clinton-Dix. McCoy has been one of the best defensive lineman in the league over the last decade, and he brings 59.5 career sacks and six Pro Bowl selections with him to Dallas. Poe hasn’t been the same player since his Kansas City days, but he’s still a two-time Pro Bowl selection and is just 29 years old, so there’s something left in his tank. Clinton-Dix is a playmaker in the secondary who has 33 career pass deflections and 16 interceptions.
Overall: Like most years, the Cowboys are a very talented team that should be in the Super Bowl conversation, but their reputation makes it hard to take them seriously. The Cowboys always find a way to underachieve and at some point you have to throw your hands up and say they are who they are and it’s not changing.
The good news is Jason Garrett is no longer on the sidelines to mess things up. That’s a plus right off the bat.
The Cowboys offense was sixth in points and first in total yards, and those numbers should remain in the same ballpark with a reliable offensive line and a star in the backfield in Ezekiel Elliott. Dak Prescott can be inconsistent at quarterback, but the Cowboys can win with him and he often wasn’t the problem during these frustrating years.
Defensively the Cowboys were above-average last season and got better as the season went along. Dallas did lose some key contributors, but you can argue the defensive front got better with the additions of McCoy and Poe, and Clinton-Dix is a ballhawking veteran who brings a game changing mentality to the secondary. Chidobe Awuzie is also a young corner who is probably only scratching the surface of his potential, making the loss of Jones a little easier to swallow.
The Cowboys play in a more than manageable division and should be considered the team to beat. Also, 10 of the Cowboys 16 regular season opponents this season didn’t make the playoffs last year. The schedule really helps the Cowboys this season, especially when they get the San Francisco 49ers at home.
The last three times the Cowboys missed the playoffs, they bounced back with double-digit wins and a postseason berth. The Cowboys finally got rid of Garrett at head coach.
Give me the Cowboys over 9.5 wins.