Tom Brady Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prop Bets - NFL Pick, Odds and Prediction

Tom Brady Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prop Bets - NFL Pick, Odds and Prediction Photo by Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Tom Brady Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prop Bets

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Tom Brady left the New England Patriots for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and you can bet on his how his season with his new team is going to go. There are a few prop bets out there for Brady’s individual statistics. 

Let’s take a quick look and throw out some suggestions.  

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Under 10.5 total interceptions -115 - Brady has thrown double-digit interceptions just three times since 2010 and is averaging just 7.5 interceptions in his last six seasons. Almost all of Brady’s higher interception totals came earlier in his career when he took more chances with the ball and pushed the ball downfield at a much higher percentage. As he approaches 43 years old, Brady spends a lot of time on check downs and safer passes, and he doesn’t really have the arm strength anyway to let the ball rip and increase his chances for interceptions. While Brady has better offensive weapons in Tampa Bay, you can expect him to once again make the right play and limit careless turnovers. 

Under 4,350 passing yards -125 - Brady is averaging 3,728.6 passing yards a season for his career and has thrown under 4,350 passing yards in four of his last seven seasons. Last season, Brady threw for 4,057 yards and completed just 60.8 percent of his passes, which was the third lowest percentage of his career since he became a starter. Only five quarterbacks last season topped 4,350 passing yards, and while Brady has better receivers with the Buccaneers than he’s had in a few years, it’s hard to expect a 43-year-old quarterback to join that elite club. This is a very high number and you’re expecting a hell of a turnaround if taking the over on this bet.

Under 32.5 touchdown passes -130 - Brady has thrown 33 or more touchdown passes just six times in his career and hasn’t done so since 2015. In his last four seasons, Brady is averaging 28.3 touchdown passes and a 30 touchdown pass season per 16 games average. We’ve seen Brady’s touchdown total decrease each of the last three seasons and I’m not running to the window to bet on a magical turnaround with him playing for a new coaching staff and new teammates at 43 years old. Last season, only Lamar Jackson and Jameis Winston had 33 or more touchdown passes. Again, this number feels a little bit too high. For all three prop bets, give me the under.

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.