NFL Draft Prop Betting 2020: D'Andre Swift Draft Position
Photo by Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
With What Pick is D'Andre Swift Selected?
2020 NFL Draft
The Line: Under 32.5 -140/Over 32.5 +100
With the 2020 NFL Draft right around the corner, there are lots of NFL Draft prop bet lines floating around out there, so in this article we’re going to take a look at D’Andre Swift and try to make money based on where he’s selected.
College Career: Despite sharing the backfield with top NFL backs like Sony Michel and Nick Chubb, Swift held his own as a freshman in 2017, averaging 7.6 yards per carry for 618 yards and 3 scores. In 2018, Swift was the lead back but still split snaps with Elijah Holyfield but rushing for 1,049 yards and 10 touchdowns. In 2019, Swift had his best year, averaging 6.2 yards per carry with 1,216 yards and 7 touchdowns.
Strengths/Weaknesses: There’s not much to dislike when it comes to Swift, he’s got home run speed, he’s a long gain threat any time he has the ball and is very agile eith an explosive burst once he hits the hole and gets to the open field. Swift is also extremely strong and can break tackles and has solid hands for a running back to catch passes out of the backfield. The only knock on Swift is the same that a lot of running backs get when it comes to stepping up to the next level, and that’s that Swift will have to work on handling blitz protection as the NFL pass rushes are a different animal than anything he faces in college. The good news is that playing at Georgia, Swift probably faced some of the best competition, and that can only serve him well going forward.
Now let’s take a look at the odds.
Under 32.5, -140, so for the under to come in, Swift would have to be taken anywhere from pick #1 to #32. I’ve seen a few different draft boards that have had Swift going to Miami at #26, Baltimore at #28 and even Kansas City at #32. I’ve said in our live shows that are on YouTube and Facebook at 11am EST every day, and during our mock draft show, that Swift to the Dolphins makes sense because Miami virtually needs help at every position and you can’t have Ryan Fitzpatrick leading your team in rushing as a 37-year old QB. I don’t think Miami will want to want to see if they can get him in the 2nd round, so 26 might be their shot. Baltimore also makes sense as the Ravens will need their running back of the future at some point as Mark Ingram II is getting older and Lamar Jackson needs a sidekick in the backfield.
Over 32.5, EVEN, so for the over to hit obviously, Swift would have to go anywhere after the first round. I’ve also seen boards where Swift falls to Miami around #39, or even right after to Houston at #40, but the Texans wouldn’t need Swift for anything other than a 1-2 pnuuch back alongside David Johnson and Like I said, I don’t really know if Swift is available at #39.
Pick: I’m going under 32.5 here. I think Swift is the best running back on the board, and if the rankings stay true to form, it would be hard for me to imagine that a running back doesn’t go at all in the first round, even with a thinner class than normal. Like I said, I think Swift ends up with the Miami Dolphins and if they pass on him at 26, I doubt he’s there by the end of the first round. Give me under 32.5.