Miami Dolphins Starting Quarterback Week 1 2020 - NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
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Who Will Be The Miami Dolphins Starting Quarterback?
2020 NFL Season
The Line: -- Over/Under:
The Miami Dolphins appear to finally have their quarterback with the selection of Tua Tagovailoa with the fifth pick in the 2020 NFL draft. The question now is who is going to be the day one starting quarterback for the Dolphins. Some are willing to be patient and allow Tagovailoa to recover and learn the pro game, while others want to see what the kid has right away. The good news is we can bet on this and possibly make some money.
Here is handicapping the Dolphins quarterback situation with the latest odds.
Ryan Fitzpatrick, -350 - Ryan Fitzpatrick is the grizzly veteran who will be 38 years old in November, and he played 15 games for the Dolphins last year. Last season, Fitzpatrick competed 62 percent of his passes for 3,529 yards, 20 touchdowns and 13 interceptions. Producing 182 first downs through the air was the second-most for Fitzpatrick in his career. Fitzpatrick is often a mixed bag, as he’s going to make boneheaded plays at times, but he’s a gamer who can often get hot and be the difference a team won. Fitzpatrick has a little Brett Favre to his playing style and you have to take the good with the bad. Fitzpatrick also has experience with new offensive coordinator Chan Gailey dating back to his Buffalo Bills and New York Jets days. This feels like an easy transition for the experienced Fitzpatrick.
Tua Tagovailoa, +200 - Tua Tagovailoa spent three years at Alabama where he completed 69.3 percent of his passes for 7,442 yards, 87 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Tagovailoa also had 340 rushing yards and nine rushing touchdowns, and he won the Maxwell Award and Walter Camp Award in 2018. Tagovailoa has the goods to be a terrific quarterback at the next level, but he’s also recovering from a hip injury that forces the Dolphins to be very cautious. Tagovailoa is working out, throwing the ball and says he’s good to go, but it’s important the Dolphins focus on the next 10-15 years rather than what he can do for them this upcoming season. Tagovailoa also needs to learn the playbook and his teammates, and he’s behind the eight ball due to the Coronavirus kind of shutting everything down at the moment. It’s going to be tough for Tagovailoa to be up to speed once training camp opens up.
Josh Rosen, +2500 - Josh Rosen has played in 20 career games and is 3-13 during that stretch, which includes a 54.8 completion percentage, 2,845 yards, 12 touchdowns and 19 interceptions. Rosen hasn’t been good in two seasons to put it kindly. However, Rosen hasn’t had much of an offensive line in Arizona or Miami, getting sacked 61 times. Rosen has been sacked on 10.8 percent of his dropbacks. I would like to see Rosen in a better situation before I say he’s not an NFL caliber quarterback. Rosen is in his second season in Miami, so he’s up to speed with the way things are done and he has the experience, which could actually give him an edge over Tua as the immediate backup option at quarterback.
Pick: I don’t think it’s a secret that Fitzpatrick will be the starting quarterback in Miami opening week. He has a relationship with the new OC and is somebody who can keep a team competitive as they continue to work through a rebuild. I’m expecting the Dolphins to redshirt Tagovailoa and allow that hip to completely heal while also giving him the time to learn the playbook. The Dolphins offensive line is also still a work in progress, and you don’t want somebody who has a history with injuries to be thrown into the lions den. Continue to build the line and add weapons, giving Tua the best possible chance to succeed. Tagovailoa is more of an option in the 2021-22 NFL season. So, Rosen actually has the betting value in this prop considering I think he’s actually No. 2 on the Dolphins QB depth chart if the season started tomorrow.
With all that said, however, Fitzpatrick is the Dolphins starting quarterback as long as he’s healthy come September.