NFL Picks: Dallas Cowboys vs. Cleveland Browns Predictions 10/4/20

NFL Picks: Dallas Cowboys vs. Cleveland Browns  Predictions 10/4/20 Photo by Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports

Cleveland Browns (2-1) at Dallas Cowboys (1-2)

NFL Football: Sunday, October 4, 2020 at 1:00 pm (AT&T Stadium)

The Line: Dallas Cowboys -4.5 -- Over/Under: 56 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Cleveland Browns and Dallas Cowboys meet Sunday in week 4 NFL action at AT&T Stadium.

The Cleveland Browns look for their third straight victory to improve to 3-1 on the season. The Cleveland Browns have lost seven straight road games. Baker Mayfield is completing 62.4 percent of his passes for 564 yards, five touchdowns and two interceptions. Mayfield has two or more touchdown passes in six of his last 10 games. Odell Beckham Jr. and Jarvis Landry have combined for 298 receiving yards and one touchdown while Austin Hooper has seven receptions. The Cleveland Browns ground game is averaging 170.3 yards per contest, and Nick Chubb leads the way with 292 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Cleveland is allowing 29.3 points and 347.7 yards per game. Sione Takitaki leads the Cleveland Browns with 19 tackles, Myles Garrett has three sacks and Malcolm Smith has one interception.

The Dallas Cowboys look for their second home victory to get back to a .500 record. The Dallas Cowboys have won four of their last six home games. Dak Prescott is completing 67.1 percent of his passes for 1,188 yards, five touchdowns and two interceptions. Prescott has one or less touchdown passes in five of his last 10 games. Amari Cooper and Michael Gallup have combined for 513 receiving yards and one touchdown while CeeDee Lamb has 16 receptions. The Dallas Cowboys ground game is averaging 107.3 yards per contest, and Ezekiel Elliott leads the way with 219 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Dallas is allowing 32.3 points and 404.7 yards per game. Jaylon Smith leads the Dallas Cowboys with 32 tackles, Aldon Smith has four sacks and Chidobe Awuzie has one interception.

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The Browns are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games in Week 4, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in October and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite, 2-8 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The over is 5-2 in Browns last 7 games overall. The over is 5-2 in Cowboys last 7 games overall. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

I'm usually fading the Browns whenever I get the chance, as they've been horrible against the spread for years and have still failed to cover five of their last six games overall. With that said, the Dallas Cowboys are an onside kick recovery away from being 0-3 this season and have a defense that's been getting gashed and there's only four teams allowing more passing yards per game. While the Cowboys are still probably the better team, I'm not laying chalk with them in this spot based on how they've looked.

Give me the Browns and the free points.

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Randy’s Pick Cleveland Browns +4.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

Cleveland Browns at Dallas Cowboys Sunday 10/4/20 NFL Picks & Predictions Week 4 | Sports Chat Place