Prediction: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Los Angeles Chargers NFL Picks, Odds 10/4/20

The Los Angeles Chargers and Tampa Bay Buccaneers meet Sunday in week 4 NFL action at Raymond James Stadium.

The Los Angeles Chargers look for their second road victory to get back to a .500 record. The Los Angeles Chargers have split their last eight road games. Justin Herbert is completing 69.5 percent of his passes for 641 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. Herbert and Tyrod Taylor have combined for 849 passing yards this season. Keenan Allen and Hunter Henry have combined for 471 receiving yards and one touchdown while Austin Ekeler has 16 receptions. The Los Angeles Chargers ground game is averaging 151.7 yards per contest, and Ekeler leads the way with 236 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Los Angeles is allowing 19 points and 337 yards per game. Kenneth Murray Jr. leads the Los Angeles Chargers with 23 tackles, Joey Bosa has three sacks and Melvin Ingram III has one interception.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers look for a third straight victory to jump out to a solid 3-1 start to the NFL season. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have lost five of their last seven home games. Tom Brady is completing 65.1 percent of his passes for 753 yards, six touchdowns and three interceptions. Brady has two or less touchdown passes in six of his last seven games. Scotty Miller and Chris Godwin have combined for 310 receiving yards and one touchdown while Mike Evans has 10 receptions. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers ground game is averaging 92 yards per contest, and Ronald Jones II leads the way with 142 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, Tampa Bay is allowing 20.3 points and 308 yards per game. Devin White leads the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with 33 tackles, Jason Pierre-Paul has three sacks and Carlton Davis has on interception.

The Chargers are 11-4-2 ATS in their last 17 road games, 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games in October and 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The Buccaneers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite, 1-6-2 ATS in their last 9 home games and 5-2-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The under is 4-1 in Chargers last 5 games overall. The over is 14-3 in Buccaneers last 17 games overall. The over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.

The Los Angeles Chargers have been competitive through three games and Herbert has played well, but it’s also going to be the rookies first road game and he’s going up against a Tampa Bay defense that’s fifth in the NFL in yards allowed per game. The Buccaneers seem to be getting more and more comfortable, as the defensive effort has picked up and Brady is coming off a game against the Broncos where he made some incredible thitems. The chemistry is building in Tampa Bay and it makes the Bucs a bit more more intriguing. I’d love to wait this line out a bit and see if we can at least get off the hook, but this is a game the Buccaneers should win and cover.

I’ll lay the touchdown with the Buccaneers.