Week 4 Picks: Houston Texans vs. Minnesota Vikings NFL Picks, Predictions 10/4/20
Photo by Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports
Minnesota Vikings (0-3) at Houston Texans (0-3)
NFL Football: Sunday, October 4, 2020 at 1:00 pm (NRG Stadium)
The Line: Houston Texans -3.5 -- Over/Under: 54 Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Minnesota Vikings and Houston Texans meet Sunday in week 4 NFL action at NRG Stadium.
The Minnesota Vikings look for a win here to avoid their first 0-4 start since the 2011 NFL season. The Minnesota Vikings have split their last eight road games. Kirk Cousins is completing 59 percent of his passes for 623 yards, five touchdowns and six interceptions. Cousins has two or more touchdown passes in six of his last 10 games. Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielen have combined for 415 receiving yards and four touchdowns while Bisi Johnson has four receptions. The Minnesota Vikings ground game is averaging 146.7 yards per contest, and Dalvin Cook leads the way with 294 yards and four touchdowns. Defensively, Minnesota is allowing 34 points and 440 yards per game. Eric Kendricks leads the Minnesota Vikings with 33 tackles, Yannick Ngakoue has two sacks and Eric Wilson has one interception.
The Houston Texans need a victory here to avoid their first 0-4 start since the 2008 NFL season. The Houston Texans have split their last eight home games. Deshaun Watson is completing 67.4 percent of his passes for 792 yards, four touchdowns and three interceptions. Watson has one or less touchdown passes in five of his last 10 games. Randall Cobb and Will Fuller V have combined for 343 receiving yards and two touchdowns while Brandin Cooks has 10 receptions. The Houston Texans ground game is averaging 66 yards per contest, and David Johnson leads the way with 134 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Houston is allowing 31.7 points and 387.7 yards per game. Zach Cunningham leads the Houston Texans with 32 tackles, JJ Watt has two sacks and Vernon Hargreaves III has two pass deflections.
The Vikings are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games in October, 7-3-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. The Texans are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games, 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games in Week 4 and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The over is 5-2 in Vikings last 7 road games. The under is 10-4 in Texans last 14 home games. The Vikings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
This is a weird game because you can make a case that both of these teams are better than what they've shown up to this point, it's just a matter of proving it. In terms of the roster, the Vikings are probably the better team and they just went toe-to-toe with a good Titans squad and could have easily won. However, the Texans have absolutely had a brutal start to the season with games against the Chiefs, Ravens and Steelers, so their 0-3 start isn't all that surprising. Cousins has turned into a turnover machine again and his offensive line hasn't done him a ton of favors. There's better betting options in NFL week 4, but I'd lean toward the Texans if forced to pick this game.
Give me the Texans.