Game Day: Denver Broncos at New England Patriots NFL Picks & Predictions 10/12/20
Photo by Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports
Denver Broncos (1-3) at New England Patriots (2-2)
NFL Football: Monday, October 12, 2020 at 5:00 pm (Gillette Stadium)
The Line: New England Patriots -11 -- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds
The Denver Broncos and the New England Patriots meet in a week 5 NFL matchup from Gillette Stadium on Monday evening.
The Denver Broncos will look to build on their first win of the season coming in the form of a 37-28 win over the New York Jets last time out. Jeff Driskel has thrown for 432 yards, 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions while Brett Rypien’s tossed for 295 yards, 2 touchdowns and 4 picks and Drew Lock has 236 passing yards and a touchdown. Melvin Gordon III leads the Broncos in rushing with 281 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns while Jerry Jeudy is Denver’s top receiver with 234 receiving yards. Noah Fant and Tim Patrick each have 200+ receiving yards and a pair of touchdowns respectively as well. Defensively, Josey Jewell leads the Broncos with 30 total tackles while Alexander Johnson has 29 total tackles and Justin Simmons has 27 total tackles with a team-high 23 solo tackles. Shelby Harris and Bradley Chubb each have 2.5 sacks as well this season.
The New England Patriots come into this one looking to rebound from a 26-10 loss to the Kansas City Chiefs last time out. Cam Newton missed the game because of a positive COVID test, but still leads New England with 714 passing yards, 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions on 68.1% passing while Brian Hoyer has 130 passing yards with an INT and Jarrett Stidham has 60 passing yards with a touchdown and two INTs this season. Sony Michel leads the Pats with 173 rushing yards while Newton has 149 rushing yards and 4 rushing touchdowns. Rex Burkhead and Damien Harris each have 100+ rushing yards for New England this season. Julian Edelman leads New England’s receiving group with 294 receiving yards while Damiere Byrd has 179 receiving yards and N’Keal Harry isn’t far off with 166 receiving yards and a TD this season. Defensively, Adrian Phillips leads New England with 25 total tackles while Jonathan Jones has 22 total tackles including a team-high 18 solo tackles and Chase Winovich has 2.5 sacks this season to lead New England in that department.
Head-to-head, Denver is 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings between these two teams and 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two teams in New England.
I’m operating this game on the assumption that Cam Newton will miss the game or still not be 100%, and even if he is, I expect this game to be an ugly, ground and pound style of game. I don’t trust the Broncos to do much of anything with the way that their roster is in shambles coming into this game and you’re going to have to do more than beat the New York Jets for me to put any faith in going forward. I’m not running to the window to bet this one, but with so many uncertainties, I feel the only play here is the under.