NFL Predictions: Houston Texans vs New England Patriots 11/22/20 NFL Picks, Odds

NFL Predictions: Houston Texans vs New England Patriots 11/22/20 NFL Picks, Odds Photo by Thomas B. Shea-USA TODAY Sports

New England Patriots (4-5) at Houston Texans (2-7)

NFL Football: Sunday, November 22, 2020 at 1:00 pm (NRG Stadium)

The Line: Houston Texans +2.5 -- Over/Under: 48 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Houston Texans host the New England Patriots when they meet Sunday in week 11 NFL action at NRG Stadium in Houston.

The New England Patriots look for a third straight win to get to a .500 record and keep their playoff hopes alive. The New England Patriots have lost three of their last four road games. Cam Newton is completing 68.8 percent of his passes for 1,535 yards, three touchdowns and seven interceptions. Newton has one touchdown pass in his last five games. Jakobi Meyers and Damiere Byrd have combined for 690 receiving yards on 54 catches while Julian Edelman has 21 receptions. The New England Patriots ground game is averaging 161.1 yards per contest, and Damien Harris leads the way with 471 yards and one touchdown. Defensively, New England is allowing 23.4 points and 353.3 yards per game. Adrian Phillips leads the New England Patriots with 61 tackles, Chase Winovich has 2.5 sacks and J.C. Jackson has six interceptions.

The Houston Texans could use a big upset win here to rebound from a 2-7 record. The Houston Texans have lost three of their last four home games. Deshaun Watson is completing 68.1 percent of his passes for 2,539 yards, 18 touchdowns and five interceptions. Watson has two or more touchdown passes in six of his last seven games. Will Fuller V and Brandin Cooks have combined for 1,177 receiving yards and nine touchdowns while Randall Cobb has 36 receptions. The Houston Texans ground game is averaging 87.9 yards per contest, and David Johnson leads the way with 408 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Houston is allowing 28 points and 409.1 yards per game. Zach Cunningham leads the Houston Texans with 92 tackles, JJ Watt has four sacks and Bradley Roby has one interception.

Get the Experts BEST BETS For Today's Games

The Patriots are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite and 22-8 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. The Texans are 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The over is 5-1 in Patriots last 6 road games. The under is 4-1 in Texans last 5 home games. The Patriots are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Houston and 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings.

The New England Patriots are coming off their best win of the season with an upset over the Ravens, and the defense is showing massive improvement over the last few weeks. The Houston Texans are coming off a contest where they scored just seven points and they're nearly the worst rushing team offensively while also being the worst defense at stopping the run. The Texans have a lot of issues, but not being able to run the ball and not being able to stop the run is why they're in the position they're in. You can make a strong argument that the Patriots should be much bigger favorites in this game.

I'll gladly take the Pats and the small chalk here.

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Randy’s Pick New England Patriots -2.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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