Thanksgiving NFL: Detroit Lions vs Houston Texans 11/26/20 NFL Picks, Odds, Predictions

Thanksgiving NFL: Detroit Lions vs Houston Texans 11/26/20 NFL Picks, Odds, Predictions Photo by John Glaser-USA TODAY Sports

Houston Texans (3-7) at Detroit Lions (4-6)

NFL Football: Thursday, November 26, 2020 at 12:30 pm (Ford Field)

The Line: Detroit Lions +2.5 -- Over/Under: 51.5 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Detroit Lions host the Houston Texans when they meet Thursday in week 12 NFL action in the annual Thansgiving Day NFL game at Ford Field.

The Houston Texans look for another win after splitting their last six games. The Houston Texans have lost four of their last five road games. Deshaun Watson is completing 68.9 percent of his passes for 2,883 yards, 20 touchdowns and five interceptions. Watson has two or more touchdown passes in seven of his last eight games. Will Fuller V and Brandin Cooks have combined for 1,342 receiving yards and nine touchdowns while Randall Cobb has 38 receptions. The Houston Texans ground game is averaging 84.6 yards per contest, and David Johnson leads the way with 408 yards and three touchdowns. Defensively, Houston is allowing 27.2 points and 411.7 yards per game. Zach Cunningham leads the Houston Texans with 101 tackles, JJ Watt has four sacks and Bradley Roby has one interception.

The Detroit Lions could use a win here after splitting their last eight games. The Detroit Lions have lost three of their last four home games. Matthew Stafford is completing 62.8 percent of his passes for 2,581 yards, 17 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Stafford has seven touchdown passes in his last four games. Marvin Jones Jr. and TJ Hockenson have combined for 896 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns while Danny Amendola has 28 receptions. The Detroit Lions ground game is averaging 95.4 yards per contest, and Adrian Peterson leads the way with 389 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Detroit is allowing 28.7 points and 397.4 yards per game. Jamie Collins Sr. leads the Detroit Lions with 77 tackles, Romeo Okwara has six sacks and Duron Harmon has two interceptions.

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The Texans are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 Thursday games, 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The Lions are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games, 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as an underdog and 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games overall. The over is 5-1 in Texans last 6 road games. The over is 10-1 in Lions last 11 home games.

The Houston Texans are playing the better football entering this matchup, but they haven't won back-to-back games since December of last year, they can't run the football and their defense has been a train wreck for much of the season. The Detroit Lions have a banged up Stafford who didn't look good last week, they've played their worst football at home and their defense hasn't been any better than the Texans. These are two teams with struggling defenses, so while I was leaning toward the Lions and the free points simply because they have more to play for at this point, I'm going to side with the over. Both of these teams have issues getting off the field defensively.

Give me the over, as we set off Thanksgiving with a high scoring contest. 

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Randy’s Pick Over 51.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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