NFL Week 12 Picks: Denver Broncos vs New Orleans Saints 11/29/20 NFL Picks, Predictions

NFL Week 12 Picks: Denver Broncos vs New Orleans Saints 11/29/20 NFL Picks, Predictions Photo by Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports

New Orleans Saints (8-2) at Denver Broncos (4-6)

NFL Football: Sunday, November 29, 2020 at 4:05 pm (Empower Field at Mile High)

The Line: Denver Broncos +6 -- Over/Under: 43.5 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Denver Broncos host the New Orleans Saints for their meeting Sunday in week 12 NFL action at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver.

The New Orleans Saints are riding a seven-game winning streak and are first in the NFC South. The New Orleans Saints have won three straight road games. Drew Brees is completing 73.5 percent of his passes for 2,196 yards, 18 touchdowns and three interceptions. Brees and Taysom Hill have combined for 18 touchdowns and three interceptions. Alvin Kamara and Emmanuel Sanders have combined for 1,061 receiving yards and seven touchdowns while Tre’Quan Smith has 26 receptions. The New Orleans Saints ground game is averaging 125.5 yards per contest, and Kamara leads the way with 531 yards and eight touchdowns. Defensively, New Orleans is allowing 23.7 points and 308.2 yards per game. Demario Davis leads the New Orleans Saints with 66 tackles, Trey Hendrickson has 9.5 sacks and Marcus Williams has three interceptions.

The Denver Broncos look for another upset win after splitting their last eight games. The Denver Broncos have lost three of their last five home games. Drew Lock is completing 55.6 percent of his passes for 1,767 yards, seven touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Jeff Driskel and Lock have combined for 10 touchdown passes and 13 interceptions this season but there aren't any QB's on the Broncos roster. Jerry Jeudy and Tim Patrick have combined for 1,152 receiving yards and five touchdowns while Noah Fant has 39 receptions. The Denver Broncos ground game is averaging 114.8 yards per contest, and Melvin Gordon III leads the way with 523 yards and six touchdowns. Defensively, Denver is allowing 22 points and 349.8 yards per game. Alexander Johnson leads the Denver Broncos with 84 tackles, Bradley Chubb has 6.5 sacks and Justin Simmons has four interceptions.

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The Saints are 35-16 ATS in their last 51 road games, 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games as a road favorite and 7-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. The Broncos are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 12. The over is 7-3 in Saints last 10 games overall. The under is 14-6 in Broncos last 20 home games. The Saints are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

The New Orleans Saints haven't lost in two months and the defensive effort has improved, as they've allowed an average of 8.3 points in their last three games. The Denver Broncos have had issues with consistency this season, but Lock is coming off one of his better games of the season and they just beat a solid Dolphins team. The Broncos have now won two straight at home. The Saints are obviously the better team here, but you're being asked to lay a touchdown with Taysom Hill at quarterback on the road in a tough venue against a Denver defense that gets the quarterback. If the Broncos can rush Hill the same way they did against Tagovailoa, they can have success in this game.

I want the points with the Broncos.

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Randy’s Pick Denver Broncos +6

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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