NFL Week 16 Picks: Kansas City Chiefs vs Atlanta Falcons 12/27/20 NFL Picks, Odds, Predictions

NFL Week 16 Picks: Kansas City Chiefs vs Atlanta Falcons 12/27/20 NFL Picks, Odds, Predictions Photo by Derick E. Hingle-USA TODAY Sports

Atlanta Falcons (4-10) at Kansas City Chiefs (13-1)

NFL Football: Sunday, December 27, 2020 at 1:00 pm (Arrowhead Stadium)

The Line: Kansas City Chiefs -10.5 -- Over/Under: 53.5 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Kansas City Chiefs battle the Atlanta Falcons in week 16 NFL action from Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City on Sunday afternoon.

The Atlanta Falcons will look to potentially play spoiler with the Chefs, sitting at 4-10 on the year after a 3rd straight loss in the form of a 31-27 loss to Tampa Bay last time out. Matt Ryan has thrown for 4,016 yards, 22 touchdowns and 11 interceptions on 64.2% passing while Todd Gurley II has rushed for a team-high 644 yards and 9 touchdowns and Brian Hill has 335 yards on the ground while Ito Smith’s chipped in 213 rushing yards. Calvin Ridley leads Atlanta with 77 grabs for 1,192 yards and 9 touchdowns while Julio Jones has 771 yards and 3 touchdowns in an injury-riddled 9 games. Russell Gage has 59 grabs for 672 yards while Hayden Hurst has 496 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns for Atlanta this season. On defense, Foyesade Oluokun leads the Falcons with 104 total tackles including a team-high 71 solo tackles along with 3 sacks while Deion Jones has a team-high 4.5 sacks and Grady Jarrett has 4 sacks this year.

The Kansas City Chiefs will look to build on their 13-1 record and clinch home field and a first-round bye after picking up a 32-29 win over New Orleans in their last game. Patrick Mahomes has thrown for 4,462 yards, 36 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 67.3% passing while Clyde Edwards-Helaire has a team-high 803 rushing yards with 4 touchdowns. Travis Kelce leads the Chiefs in receiving with 98 grabs on 132 targets for 1,318 yards with 10 touchdowns while Tyreek Hill has 83 grabs for 1,211 yards and a team-high 15 touchdowns this season. Mecole Hardman has 511 receiving yards with 4 touchdowns and Sammy Watkins has 407 receiving yards as well for the Chiefs. On defense, Daniel Sorensen leads Kansas City with 84 total tackles including a team-high 61 solo tackles and 3 interceptions while L’Jarius Sneed also has 3 INTs. Chris Jones leads Kansas City’s pass rush with 6.5 sacks and Frank Clark has 5 sacks this season.

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Atlanta is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss while the under is 21-7 in their last 28 games against a team with a winning record. Kansas City is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 home games while the under is 30-9-1 in their last 40 home games against a team with a losing road record. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

This is where the matchups start to get tricky as you have a Kansas City team that clinches the first round bye with a win and in reality, style points don’t count, it’s basically win and get out safely while Atlanta has nothing but pride to play for and a win would actually hurt their draft position. One thing is for sure though, and that’s that these teams love offense and to be honest I expect the total to be a field goal higher so at 53.5, I’ll take it. Give me the over here.

See Who The Experts Picked To Win This One

Chris’s Pick Over 53.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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