MNF Week 16 NFL Picks: New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills 12/28/20 NFL Picks, Odds, Predictions

MNF Week 16 NFL Picks: New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills 12/28/20 NFL Picks, Odds, Predictions Photo by Troy Babbitt-USA TODAY Sports

Buffalo Bills (11-3) at New England Patriots (6-8)

NFL Football: Monday, December 28, 2020 at 8:15 pm (Gillette Stadium)

The Line: New England Patriots +7 -- Over/Under: 45 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The New England Patriots square off with the Buffalo Bills in a week 16 AFC East division matchup in NFL Monday Night Football action from Gillette Stadium in Foxboro.

The Buffalo Bills will look to build on a 48-19 win over Denver last time out to improve to 11-3 on the year. Josh Allen has thrown for 4,000 yards, 30 touchdowns and 9 interceptions while also rushing for 383 yards and 8 touchdowns on the ground. Devin Singletary has 644 rushing yards with a pair of touchdowns while Zack Moss has 416 rushing yards and 3 scores. Stefon Diggs leads the Buffalo receiving group with 111 catches on 147 targets for 1,314 yards and 5 touchdowns while Cole Beasley has 950 receiving yards and 4 scores and Gabriel Davis has 459 receiving yards with a team-high 6 touchdowns. John Brown also has 386 receiving yards for the Bills as well on the year. Defensively, Jordan Poyer leads Buffalo with 117 total tackles including 85 solo tackles while Tremaine Edmunds has 105 total tackles and Tra’Davious White has 3 interceptions. Mario Addison and A.J. Klein each have a team-high 5 sacks while Jerry Hughes has 4.5 sacks this season.

The New England Patriots will miss out on the playoff for the first time since 2008 after falling to 6-8 with a 22-12 loss to Miami last time out. Cam Newton has thrown for 2,381 yards, 5 touchdowns and 10 interceptions while also rushing for 489 yards and 11 touchdowns on the ground. Damien Harris leads the Patriots in rushing with 691 rushing yards with 2 TDs and Sony Michel has 304 rushing yards and a pair of scores as well. Jakobi Meyers leads the Pats’ receiving group with 49 catches for 616 yards while Damiere Byrd has 590 receiving yards. James White and Julian Edelman each have 300+ receiving yards while N’Keal Harry has 289 receiving yards this season. On defense, Adrian Phillips leads the Patriots with 101 total tackles including a team-high 70 total tackles while J.C. Jackson has a team-high 8 INTs and Chase Winovich has a team-high 3.5 sacks while Adam Butler has 3 sacks on the year.  

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Buffalo is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 division games while the over is 5-1-1 in their last 7 road games. New England is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games in December while the under is 6-0 in their last 6 games overall. The road team is 21-8-2 ATS in the last 31 meetings between these two teams.

Part of me wants to give the Patriots a shot at home because they’d like to save face and try to salvage a .500 season if nothing else. The problem is that New England has nothing but pride left to play for and as good as Bill Belichick is as a coach, the team just didn’t work out this season and in it’s last two games it’s going to be hard to get results, especially against a Buffalo Bills team that is still in the running for the first round bye and home field, albeit with slim chances but still. I just think that the Bills take out years of frustration on a hated rival to kick them when they’re down as Buffalo doesn’t get this chance all that often. I’ll lay the points with Buffalo in this spot.

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Chris’s Pick Buffalo -7

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

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