Miami Dolphins (10-5) at Buffalo Bills (12-3)
NFL Football: Sunday, January 3, 2021 at 1:00 pm (Bills Stadium)
The Line: Buffalo Bills -1 -- Over/Under: 44.5 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds
The Buffalo Bills face off with the Miami Dolphins Sunday in week 17 AFC East NFL action at Bills Stadium in Orchard Park, NY.
The Miami Dolphins make the playoffs for the first time since 2016 with a victory here. The Miami Dolphins have won five of their last six road games. Tua Tagovailoa is completing 65.1 percent of his passes for 1,453 yards, 10 touchdowns and two interceptions. Tagovailoa and Ryan Fitzpatrick have combined for 23 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. DeVante Parker and Mike Gesicki have combined for 1,333 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns while Jakeem Grant has 36 receptions. The Miami Dolphins ground game is averaging 107.9 yards per contest, and Myles Gaskin leads the way with 564 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Miami is allowing 18.8 points and 362.1 yards per game. Jerome Baker leads the Miami Dolphins with 108 tackles, Emmanuel Ogbah has nine sacks and Xavien Howard has nine interceptions.
The Buffalo Bills look for another win to enter the playoffs on a six-game winning streak. The Buffalo Bills have won four straight home games. Josh Allen is completing 69.1 percent of his passes for 4,320 yards, 34 touchdowns and nine interceptions. Allen has eight touchdown passes in his last three games. Stefon Diggs and Cole Beasley have combined for 2,426 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns while Gabriel Davis has 33 receptions. The Buffalo Bills ground game is averaging 109.7 yards per contest, and Devin Singletary leads the way with 680 yards and two touchdowns. Defensively, Buffalo is allowing 23.3 points and 345.7 yards per game. Jordan Poyer leads the Buffalo Bills with 122 tackles, AJ Klein has five sacks and Tre'Davious White has three interceptions.
The Dolphins are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 vs. AFC and 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games overall. The Bills are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The under is 4-1 in Dolphins last 5 vs. AFC East. The over is 5-2 in Bills last 7 games overall. The Dolphins are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Buffalo. The favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
It's not always pretty with the Miami Dolphins, but they continue to find ways to win, mainly with a defense that's first points allowed and takeaways. The Buffalo Bills are one of the hotter teams in the league and haven't lost at home since mid-October. The Bills should be favored for obvious reasons, but it's the Dolphins that have more to play for with a rare playoff spot on the line. We could also see the Bills rest some starters in the second half if certain scores aren't going their way in terms of helping their seeding. Either way, I like getting free points with teams that have more on the line. Give me the Dolphins here.