Week 17 NFL Picks: Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers 1/3/21 NFL Picks, Odds, Predictions

Week 17 NFL Picks: Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers 1/3/21 NFL Picks, Odds, Predictions Photo by Robert Hanashiro-USA TODAY Sports

Los Angeles Chargers (6-9) at Kansas City Chiefs (14-1)

NFL Football: Sunday, January 3, 2021 at 4:25 pm (Arrowhead Stadium)

The Line: Kansas City Chiefs -10.5 -- Over/Under: 45 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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The Kansas City Chiefs face off with the Los Angeles Chargers Sunday in a week 17 AFC West division matchup from Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City.

The Los Angeles Chargers will try to finish the year on a high note after a 3rd straight win to improve to 6-9 on the year following a 19-16 win over Denver last time out. Justin Herbert has thrown for 4,034 yards, 28 touchdowns and 10 interceptions on 66.3% passing while Austin Ekeler leads the Chargers in rushing with 512 rushing yards and Joshua Kelley has 364 rushing yards for the Chargers this year. Keenan Allen leads L.A. with 100 catches for 992 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns while Mike Williams and Hunter Henry each have 600+ receiving yards and 4 touchdowns this season. Jalen Guyton also has 511 receiving yards as well for the Chargers this season. On defense, Kenneth Murray Jr. leads the Chargers with 104 total tackles including a team-high 67 solo tackles while Michael Davis has a team-high 3 interceptions and Joey Bosa has a team-high 7.5 sacks this season.

The Kansas City Chiefs will look to finish the regular season with the league’s best record after improving to 14-1 on the year with a 17-14 win over Atlanta last time out. Patrick Mahomes has thrown for 4,740 yards, 38 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 66.3% passing while Clyde Edwards-Helaire leads the Chiefs in rushing with 803 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns. Travis Kelce leads KC’s receiving group with 105 grabs for 1,416 yards and 11 touchdowns while Tyreek Hill has 1,276 yards and a team-high 15 touchdowns on 87 catches. Mecole Hardman has 535 yards with 4 scores while Sammy Watkins and Demarcus Robinson each have 400+ receiving yards for Kansas City’s receiving group. Defensively, Daniel Sorenson leads the Chiefs with 91 total tackles including a team-high 68 solo tackles and 3 interceptions while L’Jarius Sneed also has 3 INTs. Chris Jones leads the Chiefs with 7.5 sacks while Frank Clark has 6 sacks of his own for Kansas City heading into the final week of the regular season.

Get the Experts BEST BETS For Today's Games

Los Angeles is 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 division games and 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games in January while the over is 5-1 in their last 6 road games. Kansas City is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games while the under is 34-16-1 in their last 51 home games against a team with a losing road record. Los Angeles is 2-5-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings between these two teams but are 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these two in Kansas City. The underdog is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings and the road team is 8-2-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings between the two teams also.

I get why the Chiefs are favored at home, but let’s face it here. The Chiefs have nothing but momentum and a 15-win season to play for here. The first round bye is locked up and the Chiefs may want to sit key guys to get them an extra week of rest to be ready to go for the playoff run. I said I’d never lay another dime with the Chargers until Anthony Lynn was fired, but the Chargers have won 3 straight all of a sudden despite horrendous coaching and if it counts for anything, the Chargers almost (and probably should have) beat the Chiefs earlier this season. I’ll take a shot with the Chargers and the points in this spot.

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Chris’s Pick Los Angeles Chargers +10.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

Best Online Sportsbook Offer For Today 5/13/21