Tampa Bay Buccaneers (13-5) at Green Bay Packers (14-3)
NFL Football: Sunday, January 24, 2021 at 3:05 pm (Lambeau Field)
The Line: Green Bay Packers -3.5 -- Over/Under: 51 Click to Get Latest Betting Odds
The Green Bay Packers face off with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers Sunday afternoon in NFL action for the NFC championship game from Lambeau Field in Green Bay, WI.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers advanced to the NFC title game with a 30-20 win over New Orleans last time out. Tom Brady threw for 199 yards and 2 touchdowns on 18 of 33 passing while also rushing for a score as well. Leonard Fournette led the Bucs in rushing with 63 yards on 17 carries while Ronald Jones II had 62 rushing yards on 13 carries. Fournette also had a touchdown reception as did Mike Evans while Cameron Brate led the Bucs’ receiving group with 50 receiving yards while Fournette had a team-high 5 catches for 44 yards. On defense, Devin White led the group with 11 total tackles including 10 solo tackles, an interception and a fumble recovery while Sean Murphy-Bunting and Mike Edwards each had interceptions as well in the win.
The Green Bay Packers kept the train rolling at home with a 32-18 win over the Los Angeles Rams last time out. Aaron Rodgers threw for 296 yards and 2 touchdowns on 23 of 36 passing while Aaron Jones rushed for 99 yards and a touchdown on 14 carries and Jamaal Williams had 65 rushing yards on 12 carries. Allen Lazard led the Pack with 96 receiving yards and a touchdown while Davante Adams added a tea-high 9 catches for 66 yards and a touchdown of his own. On defense, Krys Barnes led the Packers with 10 total tackles including 7 solo tackles while Rashan Gary and Kenny Clark each had 1.5 sacks and Za’Darius Smith added a sack as well.
Tampa Bay is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog while the over is 25-10 in their last 35 road games. Green Bay is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 playoff games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall while the over is 8-0 in their last 8 games in January. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings between these two teams.
This headline of Brady vs. Rodgers is super bowl worthy on the marquee, but if we’re being honest, Tom Brady has shown signs of decline this season and he hasn’t been able to use this Bucs’ receiving group to its full potential as Brady’s just not taking shots downfield like he used to and it’s allowing opposing defenses to play deep and keep everything in front of them. The Bucs also don’t have a dominant ground attack to take advantage of Green Bay’s one weakness on defense. Aaron Rodgers at home in the playoffs is just another animal, and while it’s a shame one legend has to go down here, I’m afraid it’s Tom Brady as Rodgers’ ability to go downfield and keep the defense honest is the difference here. I’ll lay the points with Green Bay in this one.