NFL

Detroit Lions vs Cincinnati Bengals NFL Week 6 Prop Bets 10/17/2021

Cincinnati Bengals (3-2) vs. Detroit Lions (0-5)
October 17, 2021 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Detroit Lions +158 / Cincinnati Bengals -172; Over/Under: +49
(Click here for latest betting odds)

NFL Week 6 Prop Bets: Cincinatti Bengals

Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow has an over-under line of 264.5 passing yards. This line is slightly above his season average of 253.8.

Burrow is coming off a 281-yard performance vs the Green Bay Packers. In the game, he had 3 passes go for over 20 yards, including a 70-yard touchdown pass.

The Bengals wide receiver unit is led by rookie receiver Ja’Marr Chase who is ranked 7th in the NFL in total receiving yards. Chase is being thrown to on 24.6% of Burrow’s passes. He is also 3rd in the league in deep targets.

Burrow and Chase have one of the NFL’s best matchups of the week against a Lions defense ranked 31st in yards allowed to number one wide receivers. Last week the Lions used Amani Oruwariye on Vikings wideout Justin Jefferson. In the game, Lion’s cornerback allowed 87 yards on 4 catches.

In this game, I will be locking in both Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase to go over their prop bet totals.

PlayerThis Weeks LineOver%Passing Yards In Average GameAverage Game Over%Passing Yards In Great GameGreat Game Over%Passing Yards In Bad GameBad Game Over%+- Projected Yards
Joe Burrow264.540.0253.860.0277.040.0218.060.0-1.266667

NFL Week 6 Prop Bets: Detroit Lions

Detroit Lions quarterback Jared Goff has a passing yard over-under line of 255.5. This number is slightly below his season average of 260.6.

In five games, Goff has shown the propensity to have a “bad game”. Despite ranking 5th in the NFL in pass plays per game, Goff has two performances under 220 yards passing.

The Lion’s passing game revolves around their running backs and tight end T.J. Hockenson. On the season, Hockenson 237 yards receiving with a 17% target share. Not far behind is D’Andre Swift who has 252 yards receiving out of the backfield.

Cincinnati’s secondary is ranked 28th in receiving yards allowed to number one receivers. This could be a good opportunity for one of the Lion’s up-and-coming receivers to put up a big game.

I see this game ending in a shootout and will be grabbing the over on Jared Goff’s passing yard prop.

PlayerThis Weeks LineOver%Passing Yards In Average GameAverage Game Over%Passing Yards In Great GameGreat Game Over%Passing Yards In Bad GameBad Game Over%+- Projected Yards
Jared Goff255.540.0260.640.0288.040.0223.060.013.8

Joe Kiemen's Free Pick:
Joe Burrow Over 264.5 Passing Yards
Up to $5000 Risk Free Bet; Use code DAWGZRF

Joe Kiemen

Joe Kiemen has been writing about sports for over 5 years and focuses on using data analysis/modeling to find profitable betting opportunities.

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