NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Miami Dolphins NFL Week 6 Prop Bets 10/17/2021

Miami Dolphins (1-4) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (0-5)
October 17, 2021 9:30 am EDT
The Line: Jacksonville Jaguars +164 / Miami Dolphins -181; Over/Under: -43.5
(Click here for latest betting odds)

NFL Week 6 Prop Bets: Miami Dolphins

Jaylen Waddle Under 57.5 Receiving Yards

In week six of the NFL season, the Miami Dolphins will head to London, England to take on the Jacksonville Jaguars. In a battle of two of the league’s worst teams, Miami enters as a -3 point favorite.

The Dolphins once again have questions surrounding who will be leading their team at quarterback, as Jacoby Brissett suffered a hamstring injury and is questionable for this week’s game. However, there is a possibility that Tua Tagovailoa will make a return from an early-season rib injury.

Miami’s receiving corps will be matched up against a Jaguars secondary ranked 17th in the NFL in yards allowed to number one wide receivers. Wide receiver Jaylen Waddle has 231 receiving yards on the year and is receiving 20% of his team’s passing targets.

Waddle and Brissett’s most productive routes were on short throws to the right side of the field. The wide receiver is also comfortable working over the middle as he and his quarterback connected on 7/7 attempts for 98 yards.

This week I will be fading the Dolphins offense and taking Jaylen Waddle to go under his line of 57.5 receiving yards.

NFL Week 6 Prop Bets: Jacksonville Jaguars

Trevor Lawrence Over 252.5 Passing Yards

This week, Trevor Lawrence has an over-under passing yard line of 252.5. On the season, the rookie has gone over this number in 40% of his game. Through five games, Lawrence is averaging 5 yards above his expected output vs opposing defenses. This is a good sign as he has taken on a tough schedule to open the season.

Jaguars receiver Laviska Shenault has an over-under receiving yard line of 52.5. He will be facing a Dolphins secondary allowing 113 yards per game to number one wide receivers.

Last week, the Miami secondary was torched for over 400 passing yards against Tampa Bay. While Trevor Lawrence and the Jaguars are nowhere close to as efficient as the Buccaneers, I expect the Jaguars to open things up on offense.

In the earliest game of the week, I look forward to seeing Trevor Lawrence go over his passing yard line of 252.5.

PlayerThis Weeks LineOver%Passing Yards In Average GameAverage Game Over%Passing Yards In Great GameGreat Game Over%Passing Yards In Bad GameBad Game Over%+- Projected Yards
Trevor Lawrence252.540.0229.240.0262.040.0207.060.05.733333

Joe Kiemen's Free Pick:
Trevor Lawrence Over 252.5 Passing Yards
Up to $5000 Risk Free Bet; Use code DAWGZRF

Joe Kiemen

Joe Kiemen has been writing about sports for over 5 years and focuses on using data analysis/modeling to find profitable betting opportunities.

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