NFL

Arizona Cardinals vs Green Bay Packers NFL Player Prop Bets 10/28/2021

Green Bay Packers (6-1) vs. Arizona Cardinals (7-0)
October 28, 2021 8:20 pm EDT
The Line: Arizona Cardinals -172 / Green Bay Packers +158; Over/Under: -52.5
(Click here for latest betting odds)

NFL Week 8 Prop Bets: Green Bay Packers

In Thursday night’s game, Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers has a passing yard over-under line of 254.5. This number is slightly above his season average of 244 yards per game.

So far, he has surpassed this week’s line in 57% of his contests. This season the reigning MVP is averaging just 6 yards per game over what an average quarterback should produce vs. his competition.

This game is not an ideal situation for Rodgers and the Pack as they are traveling across the country on short rest and are dealing with COVID issues in the locker room. Top wide receiver Davante Adams is unlikely to play in the contest.

Among NFL quarterbacks, Aaron Rodgers is the most reliant on his top wideout. To make matters worse, the group’s number two wideout Allan Lazard is also likely to miss the game from COVID.

Arizona’s defensive front is likely to be disruptive vs. Green Bay’s offensive line ranked 23rd in sack%. The Cardinals are 4th in the NFL with a sack % of 7.48.

In this game, I will be taking Aaron Rodgers to fall below his line of 254.5 passing yards.

PlayerThis Weeks LineOver%Passing Yards In Average GameAverage Game Over%Passing Yards In Great GameGreat Game Over%Passing Yards In Bad GameBad Game Over%+- Projected Yards
Aaron Rodgers254.457.0244.28571471.0264.029.0237.071.06.0

NFL Week 8 Prop Bets: Arizona Cardinals

Arizona Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray has an over-under passing yard line of 268.5. On the season he has gone over this number in just 43% of his contests.

So far, Murray is averaging 47 yards per game more than what an average quarterback would vs his competition. This week’s line is below his average output of 286 yards per contest.

Last week vs Houston, Kyler Murray threw for 261 yards. This total came after two straights in which he failed to go over his player prop total.

The Green Bay defense is likely to be without their defensive coordinator who has tested positive for COVID. In addition, the team is without their top cornerback Jaire Alexander. Despite not having Alexander for the past several weeks, the Packer’s secondary has held up well.

In recent seasons the Packers haven’t lost a lot of football games. However, when they do it is usually on the road and tends to be blowouts. This game has all the signs of an Arizona rout. Kyler Murray figures to be front and center in this big performance.

I recommend taking Murray to surpass his line of 268.5 passing yards.

PlayerThis Weeks LineOver%Passing Yards In Average GameAverage Game Over%Passing Yards In Great GameGreat Game Over%Passing Yards In Bad GameBad Game Over%+- Projected Yards
Kyler Murray268.543.0286.043.0294.029.0257.071.047.714286

Joe Kiemen's Free Pick:
Kyler Murray Over 268.5 Passing Yards
Free Bet Match Up To $1,001; Use code DAWGZRF

Joe Kiemen

Joe Kiemen has been writing about sports for over 5 years and focuses on using data analysis/modeling to find profitable betting opportunities.

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