Kansas City Chiefs vs Green Bay Packers 11/7/21 NFL Picks and Predictions

Green Bay Packers (7-1) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (3-4)
November 7, 2021 4:25 pm EDT
The Line: Kansas City Chiefs -3 ; Over/Under: 55.5
(Click here for latest betting odds)

The Kansas City Chiefs and Green Bay Packers clash Sunday afternoon in week 9 NFL action from Arrowhead Stadium. Green Bay managed a three-point win over the Cardinals in their last appearance. As for the Chiefs, they’re coming off a Monday game versus the Giants. In that one Kansas City eked out a three-point victory of their own. Check back all season long for free NFL picks at Sports Chat Place. 

Green Bay took a 38-3 beating at the hands of the Saints in their opener this year, but have done well since. The Packers have beaten the Lions, 49ers, Steelers, Bengals, Bears, Washington and the Cardinals in their last seven outings. 

Winning Props Bets

In the 24-21 win over Arizona on October 28, the Packers quickly made up a 7-0 first-quarter deficit and banged out the victory. QB Aaron Rogers put up 184 yards with two touchdowns, and AJ Dillon led the rush on 78 yards from 16 carries. 

Over on the Chiefs’ side, they beat the Browns in their season opener, but then fell 36-35 to the Ravens and 30-24 to the Chargers in the next pair. Kansas City went 2-2 in their next four games, losing to the Bills and Titans while otherwise taking out the Eagles and Washington. 

In the Monday game versus the Giants, Kansas City had a 14-10 halftime lead and had to fend off New York the whole way in a 20-17 win. QB Patrick Mahomes had 275 yards with one TD and one pick. Tyreek Hill led the receivers on 94 yards and a score from 12 catches. 

The Packers are 7-0 ATS in their last seven overall and 6-0 ATS in their last six after an ATS win. Green Bay is 4-0 ATS in their last four road games and 11-23-1 ATS in their last 35 in November.

Meanwhile, the Chiefs are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 as a favorite and 4-14 ATS in their last 18 overall. Kansas City is 1-4 ATS versus a team with a winning record as well. 

PICK: I’m going to take Green Bay. The Packers weren’t terribly dominant against the Cardinals, but still were able to pull off the win. Green Bay put up 335 total yards with 24 first downs and 4.7 yards per play. Arizona averaged 6.1 yards had went 2-for-2 on fourth downs, but the seven penalties and three turnovers really hurt the Cardinals. 

As for the Chiefs, they’ve been uncharacteristically spotty this year and are difficult to trust right now. In Monday’s game Kansas City coughed up 12 penalties and two turnovers in a fortunate win. Seems like the Packers are the better play on a cover. 

Andrew Jett's Free Pick:
Green Bay Packers +3
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Andrew Jett

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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