Jacksonville Jaguars vs Atlanta Falcons 11/28/21 NFL Picks, Predictions, Odds

Atlanta Falcons (4-6) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (2-8)
November 28, 2021 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Jacksonville Jaguars PK / Atlanta Falcons PK; Over/Under: 46.5
(Click here for latest betting odds)

The Jacksonville Jaguars and Atlanta Falcons clash Sunday afternoon in week 12 NFL action at TIAA Bank Field in Jacksonville. The Atlanta Falcons need a win after losing three of their last four games. The Jacksonville Jaguars also need a win after losing three of their last four games.

The Atlanta Falcons have won three of their last four road games. Matt Ryan is completing 67.7 percent of his passes for 2,427 yards, 15 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Kyle Pitts and Cordarrelle Patterson have combined for 1,108 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Calvin Ridley has 31 receptions. The Atlanta Falcons ground game is averaging 78.6 yards per contest, and Patterson leads the way with 303 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Atlanta is allowing 28.8 points and 362.3 yards per game. Foyesade Oluokun leads the Atlanta Falcons with 110 tackles, Dante Fowler Jr. has 2.5 sacks and Jaylinn Hawkins has 2 interceptions.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have lost four of their last six home games. Trevor Lawrence is completing 58.4 percent of his passes for 2,141 yards, 8 touchdowns and 9 interceptions. Marvin Jones Jr. and Laviska Shenault Jr. have combined for 894 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Dan Arnold has 27 receptions. The Jacksonville Jaguars ground game is averaging 112.5 yards per contest, and James Robinson leads the way with 568 yards and 7 touchdowns. Defensively, Jacksonville is allowing 26.2 points and 363.1 yards per game. Damien Wilson leads the Jacksonville Jaguars with 72 tackles, Josh Allen has 5.5 sacks and Andrew Wingard has 1 interception.

The Falcons are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on grass and 10-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. The Jaguars are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in November. The under is 31-12 in Falcons last 43 games in November. The under is 5-0 in Jaguars last 5 games overall. The Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

I’m not running to the window to back either of these teams that are going nowhere fast. However, in a pick em spot, I have to lean toward the Falcons simply because they’ve sown more promise this season. The Falcons have been able to sprinkle in wins here and there, and their offense is better than the 3 combined points they’ve scored their last two games. Ryan isn’t what he used to be, but he’s still capable of a serviceable game here and there. The Jacksonville Jaguars are just god awful on both sides of the ball, and they don’t have much of a home fan base. Give me the Falcons.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick:
Atlanta Falcons PK
Free Bet Match Up To $1,001; Use code DAWGZRF

Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA.

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