MNF: Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots 12/6/21 NFL Picks, Predictions, Odds

New England Patriots (8-4) vs. Buffalo Bills (7-4)
December 6, 2021 8:15 pm EDT
The Line: Buffalo Bills -3 ; Over/Under: 45
(Click here for latest betting odds)

The Buffalo Bills and New England Patriots clash in week 13 Monday Night Football in NFL action from Bills Stadium. The Patriots are riding a six-game win streak and took out the Titans in their last game. As for the Bills, they’re 2-1 in their last three and coming off a win over the Saints. Check back all season long for free NFL picks at Sports Chat Place. 

New England got off to a rocky start this season, emerging from their first half-dozen games with a 2-4 record. Since then the Patriots have gotten the hang of things with wins over the Jets, Chargers, Panthers Browns, Falcons and Titans. 

Winning Props Bets

In the matchup versus the Titans, New England outscored Tennessee 20-0 in the second half during a 36-13 win. QB Mac Jones put up 310 yards with two scores, and Jakobi Meyers caught five balls for 98 yards. 

Over on the Bills’ side, they lost their opener to the Steelers this year but then won five of their next six. Since then Buffalo is 2-2 with losses to the Jaguars and Colts alongside wins over the Jets and Saints. 

In last Thursday’s win over the Saints, the Bills had a 24-0 lead going into the fourth quarter in an eventual 31-6 result. QB Josh Allen managed 260 yards with four scores and two picks, while Stefon Diggs caught seven balls for 74 yards and a TD. 

The Patriots are 6-0 ATS in their last six overall and 4-0 ATS in their last four versus the AFC. New England is 5-0 ATS in their last five after an ATS win. 

Meanwhile, the Bills are 4-0 ATS in the last four in December and 4-01 ATS in their last five versus the AFC East. Buffalo is 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 games overall and 7-3-1 ATS in the last 11 at home. 

PICK: I’m staying with New England here. The Patriots had a nice second half against the Titans in their last game, posting 394 total yards with 23 first downs and 6.8 yards per play. New England had a 0-4 turnover differential and only committed four penalties. 

As for Buffalo, they didn’t have a ton of issues against the Saints, collecting 361 yards with 21 first downs and 8-of-13 on third-down tries. I like Buffalo to set the pace initially here, but I think the Patriots can hang around for the cover. Should be a fun game to watch. 

Andrew Jett's Free Pick:
New England Patriots +3
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Andrew Jett

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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