Buffalo Bills (8-6) vs. New England Patriots (9-5)
December 26, 2021 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: New England Patriots -2.5 / Buffalo Bills +2.5; Over/Under: +44
(Click here for latest betting odds)
The New England Patriots and Buffalo Bills square off Sunday afternoon in week 16 NFL action from Gillette Stadium in Foxboro.
The Buffalo Bills will try to build on their 31-14 win over Carolina last time out. Josh Allen’s thrown for 3,734 yards, 31 touchdowns and 12 picks on 65.2% passing, while also rushing for 555 rushing yards and 4 scores. Devin Singletary has a team-high 633 rushing yards with a trio of scores, while Zack Moss has 286 rushing yards and 4 TDs. Stefon Diggs leads the Bills with 82 catches on 128 targets with 1,007 receiving yards and 8 TD’s while Emmanuel Sanders and Cole Beasley each have 600+ receiving yards with Sanders logging 4 TDs as well this season. On defense, Tremaine Edmunds leads the Bills with 89 total tackles, while Jordan Poyer has a team-high 5 interceptions.
The New England Patriots will look to rebound from a 27-17 loss to Indianapolis last time out. Mac Jones has thrown for 3,168 yards, 18 touchdowns and 10 interceptions on 69% passing while Damien Harris leads the Pats in rushing with 754 rushing yards and 9 TD’s and Rhamondre Stevenson has 465 rushing yards as well this season. Kendrick Bourne and Jakobi Meyers each have 600+ receiving yards for the Pats this season, while Nelson Agholor and Hunter Henry each have 450 + receiving yards as well for New England this season. On defense, Kyle Dugger has a team-high 85 total tackles while Matthew Judon leads the Patriots with 12.5 sacks and J.C. Jackson has a team-high 7 interceptions this season.
Buffalo is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a win and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 division games while the over is 7-0 in their last 7 games as an underdog. New England is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 division games while the under is 6-0 in their last 6 games in December.
I get the allure of Buffalo here as it’s hard to beat a hated rival twice in one year. However, New England had a hiccup last time out, but they’re still the far better team here and I think at home, with the home crowd rocking, the Pats find a way to win and ride their defense to a cover here.