Pittsburgh Steelers (9-7-1) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (12-5)
January 16, 2022 8:15 pm EDT
The Line: Kansas City Chiefs -12.5 ; Over/Under: 46.5
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The Kansas City Chiefs and Pittsburgh Steelers square off Sunday night in the NFL Wild Card Playoffs from Arrowhead Stadium. Pittsburgh finished at 9-7-1 overall this year. The Steelers eked into the postseason with a win over the Ravens. As for the Chiefs, they went 12-5 overall this year and took out the Broncos in their last outing. Check back all season long for free NFL picks at Sports Chat Place.
Pittsburgh began the season at a sketchy 1-3 but eventually found a rhythm. After their tie with the Lions on November 14 the Steelers would lose three of four games. The season concluded with a 3-1 run that had wins over the Titans, Browns and Ravens.
In the Ravens matchup on Sunday, the Steelers scored a TD in the fourth quarter to help force overtime. Pittsburgh kicked a field goal in the extra period during a 16-13 win. QB Ben Roethlisberger finished on 244 yards with a TD and a pick.
Over on the Chiefs’ side, they started shaky this year at 3-4. Kansas City has only lost one game since then, however (January 2 versus the Bengals). Otherwise it’s been wins over the Giants, Packers, Raiders, Cowboys, Broncos, Raiders, Chargers, Steelers and Broncos.
Matched up against the Broncos, the Chiefs went into the fourth quarter trailing 21-17. Kansas City scored 11 points from there in a 28-24 comeback win. Patrick Mahomes threw for 270 yards and two touchdowns, and Mecole Hardman caught eight balls for 103 yards.
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The Steelers are 4-1 ATS in the last five versus the AFC and 1-3-1 ATS in their last five Wild Card Games. Pittsburgh is 1-4-2 ATS in their last seven playoff road games and 1-7 ATS in their last eight after an ATS win.
Meanwhile, the Chiefs are 4-0 ATS in their last four at home and 4-1 ATS in their last five versus a team with a winning record. KC is 4-1 ATS in the last five playoff home games and 6-2 ATS in their last eight overall.
PICK: I’m going to take a stab on Pittsburgh here. The last time these teams met up back on December 26 however, it was all Chiefs. Kansas City went into halftime with a 23-0 lead in that one and ended up taking it 36-10. Pittsburgh coughed up three turnovers and averaged 4.3 yards per play to KC’s 5.7 yards.
That said, outside of that game the Steelers have at least stayed competitive in their last half-dozen outings. I don’t believe Pittsburgh has a realistic shot at winning this one, but I think they can get into what’s a fairly generous line. Should be an interesting game.