Week 3: Los Angeles Chargers vs Jacksonville Jaguars 9/25/22 NFL Picks, Predictions, Odds

Jacksonville Jaguars (1-1) vs. Los Angeles Chargers (1-1)
September 25, 2022 4:05 pm EDT
The Line: Los Angeles Chargers -7 / Jacksonville Jaguars +7; Over/Under: 47.5
(Click here for latest betting odds)

The Los Angeles Chargers and Jacksonville Jaguars clash Sunday afternoon in a week 3 NFL game at SoFi Stadium. The Jacksonville Jaguars look to get a game above a .500 record. The Los Angeles Chargers also look to improve to 2-1 on the season.

The Jacksonville Jaguars haven’t won a road game since December 2019. Trevor Lawrence is completing 68.1 percent of his passes for 510 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception. Christian Kirk and Zay Jones have combined for 283 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Evan Engram has 11 receptions. The Jacksonville Jaguars ground game is averaging 109.5 yards per contest, and James Robinson leads the way with 130 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Jacksonville is allowing 14 points and 304 yards per game. Devin Lloyd leads the Jacksonville Jaguars with 17 tackles, Josh Allen has 2 sacks and Rayshawn Jenkins has 1 interception.

The Los Angeles Chargers have won 6 of their last 9 home games. Justin Herbert is completing 72 percent of his passes for 613 yards, 6 touchdowns and 1 interception. Gerald Everett and Mike Williams have combined for 248 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while DeAndre Carter has 6 receptions. The Los Angeles Chargers ground game is averaging 75.5 yards per contest, and Austin Ekeler leads the way with 75 yards on 28 carries. Defensively, Los Angeles is allowing 23 points and 319.5 yards per game. Derwin James Jr. leads the Los Angeles Chargers with 15 tackles, Khalil Mack has 3.5 sacks and Asante Samuel Jr. has 1 interception.

The Jaguars are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 3. The under is 13-5 in Jaguars last 18 games overall. The over is 6-2 in Chargers last 8 games overall. The Jaguars are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Los Angeles and 1-10 ATS in their last 11 meetings.

The Los Angeles Chargers are going to get the benefit of the doubt at home especially with having extra time to prepare for this contest. With that said, the Chargers ground game still has yet to get going, and it’s a bit of a concern. The Jacksonville Jaguars have also played well through 2 games, especially on the defensive side where they’re third in run defense and sixth in scoring defense. You also have the thing where home field advantage rally isn’t an advantage for the Chargers. I’m just not excited to lay a full touchdown with the Chargers here. I’ll take a shot with the Jags.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick:
Jacksonville Jaguars +7

Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA.
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