Baltimore Ravens (1-1) vs. New England Patriots (1-1)
September 25, 2022 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: New England Patriots +3 / Baltimore Ravens -3 ; Over/Under: 42.5
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The New England Patriots and Baltimore Ravens square off Sunday afternoon in a week 3 NFL game from Gillette Stadium. The Ravens are 1-1 so far this year and coming off a high-scoring loss to the Dolphins. As for the Pats, they’re 1-1 as well and took a tight win over the Steelers in their last game. Check back all season long for free NFL picks at Sports Chat Place.
Baltimore had a sensible opener matchup against the Jets and did well. The Ravens were up 24-3 by the end of the third quarter and pulled off the 24-9 win. QB Lamar Jackson finished with 213 yards, three scores and a pick, and Rashod Bateman caught two balls for 59 yards and a score.
In game two versus the Dolphins, the Ravens were up 35-14 after three quarters. Baltimore folded in the fourth however, giving up 28 more points in a 42-38 loss. Jackson had 318 yards with three touchdowns, and also led the rush on 119 yards and another score.
Over on the Patriots’ side, they didn’t look great in their opener versus the Dolphins. New England was down 17-0 by halftime and limped to a 20-7 defeat. QB Mac Jones threw for 213 yards, one TD and one pick, and Damien Harris rushed nine times for 48 yards.
Game two against the Steelers went better for the Patriots, but it was a close one. New England held a 17-6 lead going into the final quarter and held on for the 17-14 win. Jones threw for 252 yards, one TD and one pick on 21-of-35 passing in the victory.
The Ravens are 4-0 ATS in their last four after an ATS loss and 1-6-1 ATS in the last eight in week three. Baltimore is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 after a straight-up loss.
Meanwhile, the Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last five at home and 5-2 ATS in their last seven on turf. New England is 1-4 ATS in their last five in week three.
PICK: I’m probably staying with the Ravens. This should be a pretty fun matchup overall. Baltimore was doing great until the fourth quarter in week two versus the Dolphins, but the collapse was real. The Ravens ended up surrendering 547 yards (461 pass yards), 7.9 yards per play and 27 first downs to a so-so Miami offense. There’s plenty to work on, but I think Baltimore will come back strong.
As for the Patriots, they edged the Steelers in most categories in their week two win, but overall the numbers were fairly modest. So long as the Ravens don’t sabotage themselves once again, I think they’ll be in line for a cover.