Green Bay Packers (6-8) vs. Miami Dolphins (8-6)
December 25, 2022 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Dolphins -6 / Green Bay Packers +6; Over/Under: 46.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Green Bay Packers and Miami Dolphins meet Sunday in week 16 NFL action at Hard Rock Stadium. The Green Bay Packers have split their last 6 games. The Miami Dolphins have lost 3 straight games.
The Green Bay Packers have lost 5 of their last 7 games. Aaron Rodgers is completing 64.9 percent of his passes for 3,093 yards, 23 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Allen Lazard and Christian Watson have combined for 1,074 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns, while Randall Cobb has 29 receptions. The Green Bay Packers ground game is averaging 126.3 yards per contest, and Aaron Jones leads the way with 937 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Green Bay is allowing 22.4 points and 334 yards per game. Quay Walker leads the Green Bay Packers with 105 tackles, Preston Smith has 7.5 sacks and Jaire Alexander has 4 interceptions.
The Miami Dolphins have won 5 of their last 6 home games. Tua Tagovailoa is completing 64.8 percent of his passes for 3,238 yards, 24 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle have combined for 2,646 receiving yards and 14 touchdowns, while Trent Sherfield has 26 receptions. The Miami Dolphins ground game is averaging 96.9 yards per contest, and Raheem Mostert leads the way with 746 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Miami is allowing 24.6 points and 357.6 yards per game. Jerome Baker leads the Miami Dolphins with 89 tackles, Jaelan Phillips has 7 sacks and Jevon Holland has 2 interceptions.
The Packers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Dolphins are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 home games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss. The over is 4-1 in Packers last 5 games overall. The over is 5-2 in Dolphins last 7 games overall. The Packers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
The Green Bay Packers haven’t shown they can get the job done on the road, and their underachieving defense is a concern against this explosive Miami offense. The Miami Dolphins play their best ball by far on the road, and their offense looks like it’s back on track after what they accomplished against the Bills. A banged up Dolphins secondary should also be relieved that Rodgers has limited weapons, and it’s why their scoring offense is 20th in the league. This should be a Dolphins home victory. I’ll lay the 6 points.