Miami Dolphins vs Houston Texans 11/27/22 NFL Picks, Predictions, Odds

Houston Texans (1-8-1) vs. Miami Dolphins (7-3)
November 27, 2022 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Dolphins -12.5 / Houston Texans +12.5; Over/Under: +45
(Click here for latest betting odds)

The Houston Texans and Miami Dolphins meet Sunday in week 12 NFL action at Hard Rock Stadium. The Houston Texans have lost 5 straight games. The Miami Dolphins have own 4 straight games.

The Houston Texans have lost 4 of their last 5 road games. Davis Mills is completing 61.9 percent of his passes for 2,144 yards, 11 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Brandin Cooks and Nico Collins have combined for 863 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Chris Moore has 22 receptions. The Houston Texans ground game is averaging 93.7 yards per contest, and Dameon Pierce leads the way with 780 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Houston is allowing 23 points and 389.6 yards per game. Jonathan Owens leads the Houston Texans with 90 tackles, Jerry Hughes has 8 sacks and Jalen Pitre has 2 interceptions.

The Miami Dolphins have won 4 of their last 5 home games. Tua Tagovailoa is completing 71 percent of his passes for 2,265 yards, 18 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle have combined for 2,026 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns, while Mike Gesicki has 24 receptions. The Miami Dolphins ground game is averaging 97.7 yards per contest, and Raheem Mostert leads the way with 543 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Miami is allowing 24.1 points and 356.7 yards per game. Elandon Roberts leads the Miami Dolphins with 62 tackles, Melvin Ingram has 4 sacks and Jevon Holland has 2 interceptions.

The Texans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Dolphins are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The under is 9-3 in Texans last 12 road games. The under is 4-1 in Dolphins last 5 home games. The favorite is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The home team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

The Houston Texans don’t do anything well on either side of the ball, and they’re not covering numbers despite being big underdogs each week. The Miami Dolphins are scary explosive offensively, and they’ve had an extra week to rest up and prepare. The Texans are 31st in total defense and the Dolphins are third in total offense and sixth in scoring offense. This has the potential to get ugly quick and in a hurry. I’ll lay the points with the Fins.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick:
Miami Dolphins -12.5
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