Washington Commanders (7-6-1) vs. San Francisco 49ers (10-4)
December 24, 2022 4:05 pm EDT
The Line: San Francisco 49ers -7.5 / Washington Commanders +7.5; Over/Under: 39.5
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The Washington Commanders and San Francisco 49ers meet Saturday in week 16 NFL action at Levi’s Stadium. The Washington Commanders are 6-2-1 SU in their last 9 games. The San Francisco 49ers have won 7 straight games.
The Washington Commanders are 4-0-1 SU in their last 5 road games. Taylor Heinicke is completing 61.4 percent of his passes for 1,693 yards, 10 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. Terry McLaurin and Curtis Samuel have combined for 1,615 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Jahan Dotson has 23 receptions. The Washington Commanders ground game is averaging 126.9 yards per contest, and Brian Robinson Jr. leads the way with 652 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Washington is allowing 19.7 points and 308.9 yards per game. Jamin Davis leads the Washington Commanders with 87 tackles, Daron Payne has 8.5 sacks and Darrick Forrest has 3 interceptions.
The San Francisco 49ers have won 4 straight home games. Brock Purdy is completing 66.7 percent of his passes for 678 yards, 6 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Brandon Aiyuk and Deebo Samuel have combined for 1,386 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, while George Kittle has 46 receptions. The San Francisco 49ers ground game is averaging 133.4 yards per contest, and Christian McCaffrey leads the way with 534 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, San Francisco is allowing 15 points and 286.1 yards per game. Dre Greenlaw leads the San Francisco 49ers with 111 tackles, Nick Bosa has 15.5 sacks and Talanoa Hufanga has 4 interceptions.
The Commanders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games and 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The 49ers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games and 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games overall. The under is 18-7-1 in Commanders last 26 games overall. The under is 15-7 in 49ers last 22 games overall. The Commanders are 3-0-2 ATS in their last 5 meetings in San Francisco. The underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings. The road team is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
The San Francisco 49ers are obviously the better team here, and they’ve had extra time to prepare for this game. However, the Washington Commanders are far from a pushover as they have one of the better defenses in the league, and this is probably the best defense Purdy has faced in his NFL career. The Commanders don’t give up anything easy, and each of their last 3 losses have been decided by 8 or fewer points. The 49ers should win, but the Commanders have the ability to hang around, and that hook on top of the free touchdown could be key.