Washington Commanders vs Atlanta Falcons 11/27/22 NFL Picks, Predictions, Odds

Randy ChambersNovember 22, 2022
Washington Commanders vs Atlanta Falcons 11/27/22 NFL Picks, Predictions, Odds player photo
Credit: USA Today Sports

The Atlanta Falcons and Washington Commanders meet Sunday in week 12 NFL action at FedExField. The Atlanta Falcons look to get back to a .500 record. The Washington Commanders have won 5 of their last 6 games.

The Atlanta Falcons have lost 3 straight road games. Marcus Mariota is completing 62.2 percent of his passes for 1,878 yards, 13 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. Drake London and Olamide Zaccheaus have combined for 783 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Kyle Pitts has 28 receptions. The Atlanta Falcons ground game is averaging 159.4 yards per contest, and Tyler Allgeier leads the way with 498 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Atlanta is allowing 24.9 points and 389.4 yards per game. Rashaan Evans leads the Atlanta Falcons with 106 tackles, Grady Jarrett has 5.5 sacks and Richie Grant has 2 interceptions.

The Washington Commanders have lost 3 of their last 4 home games. Taylor Heinicke is completing 60.8 percent of his passes for 1,031 yards, 5 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. Terry McLaurin and Curtis Samuel have combined for 1,285 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Antonio Gibson has 37 receptions. The Washington Commanders ground game is averaging 116.1 yards per contest, and Gibson leads the way with 444 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Washington is allowing 20.3 points and 308 yards per game. Cole Holcomb leads the Washington Commanders with 69 tackles, Daron Payne has 6.5 sacks and Darrick Forrest has 3 interceptions.

The Falcons are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Commanders are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games in November and 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The under is 5-2 in Falcons last 7 games on grass. The under is 7-2 in Commanders last 9 games overall. The road team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

The Atlanta Falcons are competing for a division title, but they're a paper contender in my eyes as they don't play a lick of defense, they have no passing game and now Pitts is injured. The Washington Commanders have quietly won 5 of their last 6 games as the running game has picked up, and the defense is getting consistent pressure. Chase Young has also been activated, which makes the Commanders that much scarier down the stretch. Yeah, these are two teams heading in different directions. Give me the home team by a touchdown.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick:Washington Commanders -3.5
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Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA and is more than familiar with what it takes to navigate a 150 game college basketball Saturday and a 162 game MLB schedule. Randy has done it all. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter or catch him on the PickDawgz YouTube channel.