Buffalo Bills vs Pittsburgh Steelers 10/9/22 NFL Picks, Predictions, Odds

Pittsburgh Steelers (1-3) vs. Buffalo Bills (3-1)
October 9, 2022 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Buffalo Bills -14 / Pittsburgh Steelers +14; Over/Under: 47.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Buffalo Bills and Pittsburgh Steelers do battle Sunday in a AFC week 5 NFL game at Highmark Stadium. The Pittsburgh Steelers look to snap a 3-game losing streak. The Buffalo Bills look to build on their 3-1 record.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have lost 5 of their last 7 road games. Kenny Pickett is completing 59.5 percent of his passes for 653 yards, 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Pat Freiermuth and Diontae Johnson have combined for 430 receiving yards and 1 touchdown, while George Pickens has 11 receptions. The Pittsburgh Steelers ground game is averaging 97.3 yards per contest, and Najee Harris leads the way with 202 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Pittsburgh is allowing 22.5 points and 383 yards per game. Myles Jack leads the Pittsburgh Steelers with 43 tackles, Alex Highsmith has 5.5 sacks and Minkah Fitzpatrick has 3 interceptions.

The Buffalo Bills have won their last 4 home games. Josh Allen is completing 67.3 percent of his passes for 1,227 yards, 10 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Stefon Diggs and Isaiah McKenzie have combined for 559 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Devin Singletary has 17 receptions. The Buffalo Bills ground game is averaging 115.5 yards per contest, and Allen leads the way with 183 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Buffalo is allowing 14.5 points and 234.5 yards per game. Matt Milano leads the Buffalo Bills with 27 tackles, Greg Rousseau has 4 sacks and Jordan Poyer has 4 interceptions.

The Steelers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Bills are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and 6-2-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The under is 44-19-1 in Steelers last 64 road games. The under is 5-2 in Bills last 7 games in October. The under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.

The Buffalo Bills have looked shaky these last couple of weeks and this could be a look ahead spot with the Chiefs on deck next week. However, the Pittsburgh Steelers have no offense to speak of, and I’m not sure how much a quarterback change helps them in the short term. Buffalo isn’t an easy place to play, and they’re throwing a rookie in the middle of a lions’ den. You rarely see NFL lines this thick, but it’s hard to get behind the Steelers with what we’ve seen through 4 games. It’s Bills or pass for me.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Buffalo Bills -14

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA and is more than familiar with what it takes to navigate a 150 game college basketball Saturday and a 162 game MLB schedule. Randy has done it all. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter or catch him on the PickDawgz YouTube channel.

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