Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10/16/22 NFL Picks, Predictions, Odds

Chris RuffoloOctober 15, 2022
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers 10/16/22 NFL Picks, Predictions, Odds player photo
Credit: USA Today Sports

The Pittsburgh Steelers and Tampa Bay Buccaneers clash Sunday in a week 6 NFL game from Acrisure Stadium.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will try to build on their 3-2 record after a 21-15 win over Atlanta last time out. Tom Brady has thrown for 1,409 yards, 7 touchdowns and an interception on 68.1% passing while Leonard Fournette has a team-high 280 rushing yards this season. Mike Evans also has a team-high 316 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns while four other Bucs have at least 100 receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Devin White has a team-high 40 total tackles as well as 3 sacks while Jamel Dean has a pair of interceptions for the Buccaneers this season.

The Pittsburgh Steelers will be out to snap their four-game losing streak after a 38-3 loss to Buffalo last time out, falling to 1-4 on the year. Kenny Pickett has thrown for 447 yards and 4 interceptions on 67.7% passing while Najee Harris leads the Steelers in rushing with 222 rushing yards this season. Diontae Johnson leads Pittsburgh with 28 grabs for 267 receiving yards while George Pickens and Pat Freiermuth each have 200+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Myles Jack has a team-high 50 total tackles including 28 solo tackles while Alex Highsmith has a team-high 5.5 sacks and Minkah Fitzpatrick has 3 interceptions this season.

Tampa Bay is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following an ATS loss and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 games overall. Pittsburgh is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall while the under is 10-1 in their last 11 week 6 matchups.

I get the case to be made for either side in this one, but I’m looking at the under here. I’ve been clamoring for the Steelers to start Kenny Pickett and they’ve finally obliged, but it’s still going to take some time to get this offense rolling under Pickett as we saw against Buffalo. On the other side, the Buccaneers have their receivers back and the offense is starting to follow suit, but I’m not 100% ready to just jump on with the Buccaneers as we’ve seen this team put up offensive duds even in victory. I think this is going to be a low-scoring and potentially one-sided game, so give me the under here as the safer bet.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick:Under 44.5
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Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg