Cincinnati Bengals (14-4) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (15-3)
January 29, 2023 6:30 pm EDT
The Line: Kansas City Chiefs +2 / Cincinnati Bengals -2; Over/Under: +46.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Cincinnati Bengals and the Kansas City Chiefs meet in the AFC championship game in NFL action from Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday evening. Let’s dive into the odds, injuries, matchup history and make a prediction for this game.
The line opened with the Chiefs as a 1-point favorite but has currently flipped to the Bengals sitting as a 2-point road favorite with a ML price of -133 as of Tuesday morning. The total for this game is set at 46.5 points.
For the Bengals, Alex Cappa and Jonah Williams are both questionable for the Bengals’ offensive line with respective lower body injuries and on defense, Tre Flowers is questionable for this game with a hamstring injury. For Kansas City, Patrick Mahomes is questionable with an ankle injury while Clyde Edwards-Helaire is questionable with an ankle injury and Mecole Hardman is questionable with an abdominal issue.
Cincinnati’s 27-24 win back on December 4th, 2022, gave the Bengals their third straight head-to-head win over the Chiefs.
Cincinnati is 13-2-1 ATS in their last 16 games against a team with a winning record and 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 playoff games while the under is 15-7-1 in their last 23 games overall. Kansas City is 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall and 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 home games while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record.
I’m backing the over here. This total has dropped significantly from where I thought it would be as each of the last five meetings have seen 51 or more points and that’s even going back to the pre-Burrow/Mahomes games in this matchup. The meetings that these two QBs have had have been exciting to say the least though, and I think we have another electric game on Sunday to see who’s headed to the Super Bowl. Give me the over here.