Atlanta Falcons vs New England Patriots 11/18/21 NFL Picks, Best Bets and Odds

The Atlanta Falcons and New England Patriots clash in Thursday Night Football week 11 NFL action at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia. The New England Patriots look to build on their four-game winning streak. The Atlanta Falcons need a win to get back to a .500 record.

The New England Patriots have won all four road games this season. Mac Jones is completing 69 percent of his passes for 2,333 yards, 13 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. Jakobi Meyers and Kendrick Bourne have combined for 1,003 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Nelson Agholor has 24 receptions. The New England Patriots ground game is averaging 114.5 yards per contest, and Damien Harris leads the way with 547 yards and 7 touchdowns. Defensively, New England is allowing 17.7 points and 328 yards per game. Kyle Dugger leads the New England Patriots with 64 tackles, Matt Judon has 9.5 sacks and J.C. Jackson has 5 interceptions.

The Atlanta Falcons have lost all three home games this season. Matt Ryan is completing 67.7 percent of his passes for 2,274 yards, 15 touchdowns and 8 interceptions. Kyle Pitts and Cordarrelle Patterson have combined for 1,079 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Calvin Ridley has 31 receptions. The Atlanta Falcons ground game is averaging 82.9 yards per contest, and Patterson leads the way with 303 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Atlanta is allowing 29.2 points and 368.3 yards per game. Foyesade Oluokun leads the Atlanta Falcons with 100 tackles, Dante Fowler Jr. has 2 sacks and Jaylinn Hawkins has 2 interceptions.

The Patriots are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Falcons are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss. The over is 5-1 in Patriots last 6 games overall. The under is 5-0 in Falcons last 5 Thursday games. The Patriots are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Atlanta and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

The New England Patriots have caught fire out of nowhere, and they’re led by a top-10 scoring offense and the second best scoring defense. The Atlanta Falcons have major issues on both sides of the ball, as they can’t run the ball and their defense is 31st in scoring defense. We just saw the Falcons get torched last week by the Cowboys, and they’re averaging just 14.3 points in their last three games. I can’t back the Falcons with any confidence. I’ll lay the touchdown with the Patriots.

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