In this article we will formulate a Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, November 3rd at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week nine matchup.
Baltimore Ravens Betting Preview
The Baltimore Ravens are 5-3 this year after they lost to Cleveland by a score of 29-24 in their last game. Baltimore led 10-6 at halftime and 24-23 late in the fourth, but they allowed the winning touchdown with under a minute left for the loss. The Ravens were out gained by a total of 401-387, won the turnover battle 1-0, and went 2-10 on third down in the game. Lamar Jackson threw for 289 yards and two touchdowns, while Derrick Henry rushed for 73 yards and one score.
Baltimore had won their previous five games against Tampa Bay, Washington, Cincinnati, Buffalo, and Dallas. The Baltimore offense has scored 30.3 points per game with 252.1 passing yards and 200 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 26.1 points against per game this season. The Ravens have gone 46.5% on third down and 4-7 on fourth down so far this season. Lamar Jackson has completed 66.9% of his passes for 2,099 yards, 17 touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Derrick Henry has rushed for 946 yards and nine scores.
Denver Broncos Betting Preview
The Denver Broncos are 5-3 this season after they defeated Carolina by a score of 28-14 in their last game. Denver trailed 7-0 after the first quarter, but they scored the next 28 points to pull away in the win. The Broncos out gained Carolina by a total of 400-284, tied the turnover battle 2-2, and went 11-17 on third down in the game. Bo Nix threw for 284 yards and three touchdowns, while Courtland Sutton caught eight passes for 100 yards.
Prior to that game, the Broncos defeated the Saints by a score of 33-10, but did lose to the Chargers by a score of 23-16 before that. The Denver offense has scored 21.6 points per game with 185.9 passing yards and 121.4 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 15 points against per game this season. The Broncos have gone 32.4% on third down and 8-11 on fourth down through eight games. Bo Nix has completed 63.2% of his passes for 1,530 yards, eight touchdowns, and five interceptions, while Javonte Williams has rushed for 345 yards and two scores.
Why the Broncos will cover
- The Broncos have won each of their last two games as heavy underdogs (>+7.0 points).
- The Ravens have lost each of their last two Week 9 games as favorites against AFC opponents.
- The Broncos have covered the spread in each of their last four road games.
- The Ravens have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games as home favorites against AFC West opponents.
- The Broncos have won the first quarter in each of their last six November games against AFC North opponents.
- The Broncos have scored the first touchdown in each of their last three games played on the East Coast.
- The Broncos have won the first half in each of their last six November games against AFC opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Broncos’ last eight November games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Seven of the Ravens’ last eight games have gone OVER the total points line.
Baltimore Ravens Player Prop Facts
- Zay Flowers has recorded 60+ rushing and receiving yards in six of the Ravens’ last seven Sunday home games.
- Derrick Henry has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last 10 appearances with his team as a favorite on the East Coast.
- Lamar Jackson has recorded 281+ passing yards in each of the Ravens’ last four games.
- Mark Andrews has recorded 31+ receiving yards in 30 of his last 32 Sunday regular season appearances with the Ravens as home favorites.
- Lamar Jackson has recorded 51+ rushing yards in eight of the Ravens’ last nine November home games against AFC opponents.
- Derrick Henry has scored the first touchdown in three of the Ravens’ last four Sunday games.
- Lamar Jackson has recorded 18+ completions in eight of the Ravens’ last nine games against AFC West opponents.
- Lamar Jackson has thrown two or more touchdowns in four of the Ravens’ last five games.
- Heading into Week 9, Derrick Henry ranks 1st in the NFL in rushing yards (946) this season.
Denver Broncos Player Prop Facts
- Jaleel McLaughlin has recorded 25+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Broncos’ last five games.
- Courtland Sutton has recorded 53+ receiving yards in each of the Broncos’ last six November games.
- Jaleel McLaughlin has recorded 22+ rushing yards in four of the Broncos’ last five games.
- Courtland Sutton has scored a touchdown in six of the Broncos’ last seven road games against AFC opponents.
- Bo Nix has recorded 206+ passing yards in five of the Broncos’ last six Sunday games.
- Bo Nix has recorded 19+ completions in six of the Broncos’ last seven Sunday games.
- Bo Nix has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of the Broncos’ last three Sunday games.
- Kwon Alexander is just one away from 10 career interceptions.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 9, the Ravens rank 1st in the NFL in yards per game (452.1) this season.
- Heading into Week 9, the Ravens rank 1st in the NFL in rushing yards per game (200.0) this season.
- Heading into Week 9, the Broncos rank 2nd in the NFL in sacks (30.0) this season.
- Heading into Week 9, the Broncos rank T2nd in the NFL in H2 opponent points per game (6.0) this season.
Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos Prediction
Baltimore comes into this matchup after picking up a loss last week against Cleveland, but they will be back at home for this game. The Ravens have a very strong offensive attack on the ground and through the air, but their defense has some holes. Baltimore has allowed at least 29 points in three of their last four games and they will face a Denver offense that is improving. The Broncos have won four of their last five games and they have scored 28+ points in three of their last four. I think Denver can keep this game close against this questionable Baltimore defense, so take the Broncos and the points.