The Houston Texans and the Baltimore Ravens meet Sunday in NFL action from M&T Bank Stadium. Here’s a Ravens vs Texans prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Ravens vs Texans pick.
Houston Texans Betting Preview
Houston had a pretty rough time in their first three games this year, logging defeats in all of them. The Texans kicked things off with a 14-9 loss to the Los Angeles Rams, then fell in a rough outcome 20-19 versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Houston lost by one score in game three versus the Jacksonville Jaguars 17-10 on September 21. In that one the Texans offense posted 271 yards (184 passing) with 4.6 yards per play, 13 first downs a 4-of-15 success rate on third-down tries and three turnovers.
In last weekend’s matchup versus the Tennessee Titans, Houston finally got that elusive victory—and did it in a big way. The Texans were up by a modest 6-0 score heading into the fourth quarter, then came alive for a 20-0 run in a 26-0 victory in the end. QB CJ Stroud logged 233 yards with both scores on 22-of-28 passing and Jo’quavious Marks led the rushers with 17 carries for 69 yards and a score of his own. Nico Collins was tops in receiving with four catches for 79 yards in the winning effort.
Baltimore Ravens Betting Preview
Over on the Baltimore side, they opened up their season with some tough matchups, first coming on the road against the Bills in a 41-40 loss. The Ravens would take out the Cleveland Browns in game two 41-7, but then fell in a 38-30 home outcome versus the Detroit Lions. Baltimore gave up 426 total yards in that one, including 224 on the ground alongside 6.5 yards per play. The Ravens offense managed 318 yards themselves (233 passing), 21 first downs and 6-of-11 on third-down tries.
On Sunday versus Kansas City, the Ravens had a tough road game. Baltimore was up 7-3 early but then gave up 17 points in the second quarter on the way to a 37-20 loss. The Ravens managed to score in every quarter along the way—but also gave up points in every quarter. QB Lamar Jackson finished 14-of-20 for 147 yards, one TD and one pick, while Justice Hill carried three times for 76 yards and a score as the team’s top rusher. Zay Flowers led the receivers on seven catches for 74 yards in the defeat.
Houston Texans @ Baltimore Ravens Betting Trends: Week 5
Why the Baltimore Ravens will win
- The Ravens have won each of their eight previous home games against the Texans.
- The Texans have lost each of their six previous Sunday games at M&T Bank Stadium.
- The Ravens have covered the spread in each of their last five games against the Texans.
- The Texans have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games as underdogs following a home win.
- The Ravens have won the first quarter in nine of their last 10 Week 5 games.
- The Ravens have scored the first touchdown in 13 of their last 14 Sunday games.
- The Texans have lost the first half in each of their six previous Sunday games at M&T Bank Stadium.
Why the Houston Texans will win
- The Ravens have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
- The Texans have won eight of their last nine games following a Division game.
- The Texans have covered the spread in each of their last six Week 5 games.
- The Ravens have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last 10 Week 5 games as favorites.
- The Texans have scored the first touchdown in six of their last eight Sunday games.
- The Texans have won the first half in each of their last nine games in October.
- The Texans have won the first quarter in four of their last five Sunday games as underdogs.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Ravens’ last nine games following a loss have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Texans’ last six October games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Three of the last four Sunday games at M&T Bank Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
Baltimore Ravens Player Prop Facts
- Derrick Henry has scored at least one touchdown in eight of his last nine home appearances against teams with a losing record.
- DeAndre Hopkins has recorded 19+ receiving yards in each of his last 35 Sunday regular season appearances with his team as a home favorite.
- Derrick Henry has recorded 82+ rushing yards in 14 of his last 15 home appearances against AFC South opponents.
- Lamar Jackson has recorded 264+ passing yards in six of the Ravens’ last seven home games as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).
- Derrick Henry has recorded 109+ rushing and receiving yards in eight of his last nine home appearances against AFC South opponents.
- Lamar Jackson has recorded 21+ completions in each of the Ravens’ last four October games against AFC opponents.
- Heading into Week 5, Lamar Jackson ranks 1st in the NFL in passing touchdowns (10) this season.
Houston Texans Player Prop Facts
- Joe Mixon has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last six appearances on the East Coast.
- Christian Kirk has recorded 52+ receiving yards in 14 of his last 15 appearances with his team as an underdog following a win.
- Joe Mixon has recorded 65+ rushing yards in each of his last seven appearances on the East Coast.
- C.J. Stroud has recorded 244+ passing yards in four of the Texans’ last five games following a win.
- Christian Kirk has recorded 59+ rushing and receiving yards in 14 of his last 15 appearances with his team as an underdog following a win.
- C.J. Stroud has recorded 22+ completions in three of the Texans’ last four games against AFC opponents.
- Heading into Week 5, Danielle Hunter ranks T3rd in the league for fumbles recovered (1) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Ravens – four different players have recorded multi-touchdown games this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 5.
- Ravens – 10 different players have recorded at least one touchdown this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 5.
- Heading into Week 5, the Texans rank 1st in the NFL in points allowed per game (12.8) this season.
- Heading into Week 5, the Texans rank 32nd in the NFL in kickoff return yards per game (49.3) this season.
Ravens vs Texans Prediction
I’ll stick with Baltimore in this one. The Ravens do need a good bounce-back effort after a pretty lousy road game versus the Chiefs, though. Baltimore tallied 360 total yards (194 passing) in that one with 18 first downs, a 3-of-10 success rate on third-down conversions and a couple of turnovers. On defense the Ravens held KC to just 5-of-15 on third downs but also surrendered 382 total yards (264 passing), 24 first downs and a perfect 4-of-4 conversion rate on fourth-down efforts. Baltimore has given up 37 or more points in each of their defeats so far this year. Granted, those have all come against very good teams but it hasn’t been easy for the offense to keep up. The Ravens do have 30 or more points themselves in three of four outings, however.
As for Houston, they get credit for finally finding a win versus an admittedly struggling Tennessee squad. Now that the proverbial monkey is off their collective back, the Texans can take some pride in their defensive performance. Houston gave up just 175 yards (93 passing) total with 3.8 yards per play, 10 first downs and 2-of-11 on third-down tries. Going up against Baltimore is obviously going to be a much tougher proposition though.