The Pittsburgh Steelers and the Baltimore Ravens meet Sunday in NFL action from M&T Bank Stadium. Here’s a Ravens vs Steelers prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Ravens vs Steelers pick.
Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Preview
Pittsburgh went into their bye week at 3-1 this year, losing to the Seahawks with wins otherwise versus the Jets, Patriots and Vikings. The Steelers would win just three of the next seven games though, taking out the Browns, Colts and Bengals. The losses otherwise in that stretch were versus the Bengals, Packers, Chargers and Bears, giving the Steelers a 6-5 run across their first 11 games of the year.
Matched up against the Bills last weekend, the Steelers were up 7-3 by the end of the first half. Pittsburgh coughed up a 23-0 run in the second half however, leading to a 26-7 loss in the end. Aaron Rodgers finished with a 10-of-21 line for 117 yards, and Jaylen Warren had 10 carries for 35 yards and a score. Darnell Washington had two catches for 45 yards as the team’s leading receiver.
Baltimore Ravens Betting Preview
Over on the Ravens’ side, they were in trouble heading into their bye week with a 1-5 record. The lone win in that time was over the Browns; otherwise Baltimore lost to the Bills, Lions, Chiefs, Texans and Rams in succession. The Ravens woke up after that, taking out the Bears, Dolphins, Vikings, Browns and Jets in a nice winning run. Last Thursday’s game was a loss to the Bengals though, giving Baltimore a .500 record through 12 games this year.
In their Thanksgiving game versus the Bengals, the Ravens were down 12-7 by halftime. Baltimore ended up surrendering points in every quarter on the way to a 32-14 loss in the end. QB Lamar Jackson had a 17-of-32 line for 246 yards, no TDs and one pick while Derrick Henry led the rush on 10 carries for 60 yards and a score. Top receiver Isaiah Likely put up 95 yards on five receptions in the losing effort for the Ravens as well.
Why the Baltimore Ravens will win
- The Ravens have won each of their last 16 games as favorites following a Division loss.
- The Steelers have lost eight of their last nine December road games against AFC opponents.
- The Ravens have covered the spread in each of their last eight games as favorites following a Division loss.
- The Steelers have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine December road games against AFC opponents.
- The Ravens have scored the first touchdown in each of their last 11 games as favorites following a home loss.
- The Steelers have lost the first quarter in each of their last seven December road games against AFC North opponents.
- The Ravens have won the first half in each of their last eight December home games against the Steelers.
Why the Pittsburgh Steelers will win
- The Steelers have won each of their last seven Sunday games played on the East Coast.
- The Ravens have lost four of their last eight games played as favorites on the East Coast.
- The road team has covered the spread in each of the Ravens’ last seven Week 14 games.
- The Ravens have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six home games.
- The Steelers have won the first half in nine of their last 10 Sunday games.
- The Steelers have scored the first touchdown in each of their last three Sunday games played on the East Coast.
- The underdogs have won the first quarter in each of the Steelers’ last three Week 14 games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Ravens’ last nine games as favorites following a loss have gone OVER the total points line.
- Seven of the Steelers’ last eight December games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.
- Six of the last eight games between teams from the same division have gone UNDER the total points line.
Baltimore Ravens Player Prop Facts
- Derrick Henry has scored two or more touchdowns in four of his last five Week 14 appearances.
- Lamar Jackson has recorded 20+ completions in five of the Ravens’ last six home games as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).
- Lamar Jackson has recorded 264+ passing yards in six of the Ravens’ last seven home games as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).
- Derrick Henry has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last six Week 14 appearances.
- DeAndre Hopkins has recorded 21+ receiving yards in each of his last 14 December home appearances against AFC opponents.
- Derrick Henry has recorded 104+ rushing and receiving yards in five of the Ravens’ last six games against AFC North opponents.
- Lamar Jackson has recorded 33+ rushing yards in 16 of the Ravens’ last 17 games as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).
- Heading into Week 14, Derrick Henry is the only player to have recorded 10+ total touchdowns in each of the last four seasons. (including 2025).
Pittsburgh Steelers Player Prop Facts
- Pat Freiermuth has scored a touchdown in four of the Steelers’ last five Sunday games as road underdogs.
- Aaron Rodgers has recorded 23+ completions in each of his last four road appearances against AFC North opponents.
- Aaron Rodgers has recorded 244+ passing yards in each of his last eight road appearances against AFC North opponents.
- Jaylen Warren has recorded 11+ receiving yards in each of his last 20 road appearances against AFC opponents.
- Jonnu Smith has recorded 27+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last seven road appearances against division opponents.
- Jaylen Warren has recorded 68+ rushing yards in each of the Steelers’ last three road games.
- Derrick Harmon has two sacks through his first five career games – most by any player since Jalen Carter, (2023).
Matchup/League Facts
- Ravens – three different players have recorded 70+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 14.
- Heading into Week 14, the Ravens rank 1st in the NFL in Q3 points per game (7.7) this season.
- Steelers – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 14.
- Steelers – two different players have recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 14.
Ravens vs Steelers Prediction
I’ll probably lean Ravens here, but you could make a case either way. Games between these teams are normally always tight, no matter what the records are. Baltimore does need a good bounce-back effort here after losing to the Bengals on Thanksgiving. The Ravens held the ball for just 21:14 in that one, thanks in part to a pick and four lost fumbles. The 3-of-10 on third-down tries and 16 first downs needed a lot of work as well. Baltimore’s defense gave up 382 yards on the other side with 4.8 yards per play and 8-of-19 on third downs. During that recent five-game win streak, the Ravens had scored 23 or more points in every game. They’ll need to try and reach those scoreboard heights in this one.
As for Pittsburgh, they wilted on offense against the Bills—especially in the second half. The Steelers finished with just 166 yards, 3.9 yards per play, 10 first downs, 3-of-9 on third downs and two turnovers. The defense gave up 249 rush yards with 26 first downs and 8-of-15 on third-down tries on the other side but did have a couple of takeaways. Pittsburgh isn’t playing great these days; they’ve lost three of the last four games.