In this article, we will formulate a Baltimore Ravens vs Washington Commanders prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, October 13th at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 6 matchup.
Baltimore Ravens Betting Preview
The Baltimore Ravens are 3-2 this year after they defeated Cincinnati by a score of 41-38 in overtime last week. Baltimore trailed 38-28 in the fourth quarter, but they were able to force overtime and even survived an overtime turnover to get the win. The Ravens outgained Cincinnati by a total of 520-442, tied the turnover battle at one, and went 10-15 on third down in the game. Lamar Jackson threw for 348 yards and four touchdowns, while Derrick Henry rushed for 92 yards and one score.
Baltimore has also defeated Buffalo and Dallas during this three-game winning streak, but they did lose their first two games against Kansas City and Las Vegas. The Baltimore offense has scored 29.4 points per game with 236.4 passing yards and 211.2 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 25.2 points per game this season. The Ravens have gone 50% on third down and 3-4 on fourth down so far this season. Lamar Jackson has completed 65.3% of his passes for 1,206 yards, nine touchdowns, and one interception, while Derrick Henry has rushed for 572 yards and six scores.
Washington Commanders Betting Preview
The Washington Commanders are 4-1 this season after they defeated Cleveland by a score of 34-13 in their last game. Washington led 24-3 at the half and they were able to coast to the victory in the second half. The Commanders outgained Cleveland by a total of 434-212, lost the turnover battle 2-1, and went 8-17 on third down in the game. Jayden Daniels threw for 238 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while also rushing for 82 yards in the win.
Washington has also defeated Arizona, Cincinnati, and New York during this four-game winning streak, but they did lose their opener against Tampa Bay. The Washington offense has scored 31 points per game with 214.2 passing yards and 178.4 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 23 points per game this season. The Commanders have gone 51.7% on third down and 8-8 on fourth down through five games. Jayden Daniels has completed 77.1% of his passes for 1,135 yards, four touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Terry McLaurin has caught 23 passes for 303 yards and two scores.
Why the Ravens will cover
- The Ravens have won each of their last 10 games against NFC opponents.
- The Commanders have lost 15 of their last 16 Sunday games against opponents on a winning streak.
- The Commanders have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Ravens have covered the spread in each of their last four games following a Division game.
- The Ravens have scored the first touchdown in each of their last 11 games against NFC East opponents.
- The Ravens have won the first quarter in each of their last six games following an overtime win.
- The Ravens have won the first half in each of their last nine home games against NFC East opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Commanders’ last six Week 6 games have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Nine of the Ravens’ last 10 games after coming off overtime have gone UNDER the total points line.
Baltimore Ravens Player Prop Facts
- Derrick Henry has recorded 84+ rushing yards in each of his last six appearances with his team as a favorite on the East Coast.
- Lamar Jackson has recorded 252+ passing yards in four of his last five appearances following a win.
- Lamar Jackson has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of the Ravens’ last four games following a road win.
- Derrick Henry has scored two touchdowns in each of his last three appearances with his team as a favorite against NFC opponents.
- Derrick Henry has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last eight appearances with his team as a favorite on the East Coast.
- Mark Andrews has recorded 31+ receiving yards in each of his last 11 home appearances against NFC opponents.
- Derrick Henry has scored the first touchdown in three of his last four appearances following a win.
- Derrick Henry has scored the last touchdown in each of his last three Week 6 appearances.
- Derrick Henry has recorded 96+ rushing and receiving yards in eight of his last nine October appearances.
- Lamar Jackson has recorded 21+ completions in each of his last five home appearances against NFC opponents.
- Heading into Week 6, Derrick Henry ranks 1st in the NFL in rushing yards (572) this season.
Washington Commanders Player Prop Facts
- Jayden Daniels has recorded 226+ passing yards in each of the Commanders’ last four games.
- Austin Ekeler has recorded 48+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 36 appearances following a win.
- Brian Robinson has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last eight Sunday road appearances.
- Austin Ekeler has recorded 22+ receiving yards in each of his last nine appearances with his team as an underdog following a win.
- Austin Ekeler has recorded 24+ rushing yards in each of his last 21 appearances following a win.
- Jayden Daniels has recorded 21+ completions in three of the Commanders’ last four games.
- Heading into Week 6, Austin Seibert has recorded the most made field goals in a single game this season (7 vs Giants, Week 2).
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 6, the Ravens rank 1st in the NFL in yards per game (447.6) this season.
- Heading into Week 6, the Ravens rank 1st in the NFL in rushing yards per game (211.2) this season.
- Heading into Week 6, the Commanders rank 1st in the NFL in points per game (31.0) this season.
- Heading into Week 6, the Commanders rank 32nd in the NFL in total punt yards (382) this season.
Baltimore Ravens vs Washington Commanders Prediction
Both of these teams come into this matchup on nice winning streaks, but one team will have that streak snapped here. Washington has looked great offensively over the last three weeks, scoring 38, 42, and 34 points, while Baltimore has scored 41, 35, and 28 in that same span. The Ravens have defeated Cincinnati, Buffalo, and Dallas during their winning streak and I think they will continue to roll here. I think the Jackson/Henry combo is going to be way too much for this Commanders’ defense, and while I do like what I have seen from Daniels so far this season, I think Lamar will make a few more plays. Take Baltimore to win by a touchdown.