In this article we will formulate a Bears vs Patriots prediction for this NFL game on Thursday, October 22nd at Soldier Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 7 matchup.
Chicago Bears Betting Preview
The Chicago Bears are 4-2 this season after they defeated the Falcons by a score of 31-23 in their last game. Chicago led 21-7 at halftime and 31-7 in the fourth, but they allowed the last 16 points and nearly blew the lead. The Bears out gained Atlanta by a total of 368-257, went 9-17 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 3-1 in the game. Caleb Williams threw for 305 yards and one touchdown, while Luther Burden III caught eight passes for 95 yards. Roschon Johnson rushed 13 times for 51 yards and one score in the win.
Prior to that game, Chicago lost to the Packers by a score of 31-7, but did beat the Jets by a score of 23-12 before that. The Bears have scored 25.0 points per game with 227.7 passing yards and 160.7 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 19.8 points against per game this season. Caleb Williams has thrown for 712 yards with three touchdowns and one interception, while Luther Burden III has 31 receptions for 361 yards and one score this season.
New England Patriots Betting Preview
The New England Patriots are 4-2 this year after they defeated the Jets by a score of 26-19 in their last game. New England led 17-3 at halftime, but they allowed 16 points in the second half, before sealing the win. The Patriots out gained New York by a total of 383-324, went 8-15 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 2-1 in the game. Drake Maye threw for 235 yards and three touchdowns, while DeMario Douglas caught seven passes for 86 yards and one score. Corey Kiner rushed 11 times for 57 yards in the win.
Prior to that game, New England defeated the Raiders by a score of 45-17 and the Bills by a score of 29-26. The Patriots have scored 22.7 points per game with 243.5 passing yards and 130.7 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 18.8 points against per game this season. Drake Maye has thrown for 1,463 yards with 11 touchdowns and seven interceptions this year.
Why the Chicago Bears will win
- The Bears have won eight of their last nine games as slight favorites (<-3.5 points).
- The Patriots have lost 14 of their last 16 games as underdogs following a win.
- The Bears have covered the spread in each of their last five games without Tyson Bagent.
- The Patriots have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games without Efton Chism III.
- The Bears have won the first quarter in each of their last four October games against AFC East opponents.
- The Bears have won the first half in seven of their last eight October games as home favorites.
- The Bears have scored the first touchdown in eight of their last nine games as favorites following a road win.
Why the New England Patriots will win
- The Patriots have won each of their last eight games in October.
- The Bears have lost each of their last four games as home favorites against opponents on a winning streak.
- The Patriots have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as underdogs without Rhamondre Stevenson.
- The Bears have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four Thursday games as favorites.
- The Patriots have won the first half in each of their last four night games following a win.
- The Patriots have scored the first touchdown in five of their last six games.
- The Patriots have won the first quarter in each of their last four October games as underdogs.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Patriots’ last seven games as underdogs without Rhamondre Stevenson have gone OVER the total points line.
- Eight of the Bears’ last nine games as home favorites have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the last four Thursday games at Soldier Field have gone UNDER the total points line.
Chicago Bears Player Prop Facts
- D’Andre Swift has scored the first touchdown in three of his four previous Week 7 appearances.
- Caleb Williams has recorded 250+ passing yards in each of his last five appearances in night games.
- Cole Kmet has recorded 13+ receiving yards in each of the Bears’ last six games against AFC East opponents.
- Caleb Williams has recorded 20+ rushing yards in each of his five previous appearances in night games at Soldier Field.
- Caleb Williams has recorded 23+ completions in each of his last three appearances in night games.
- D’Andre Swift has scored at least one touchdown in nine of his last 10 October appearances.
- Cole Kmet has recorded 13+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Bears’ last six games against AFC East opponents.
- Heading into Week 7, D’Andre Swift has recorded the equal-most rushing touchdowns in a single game this season (3 vs Panthers, Week 1).
New England Patriots Player Prop Facts
- Rhamondre Stevenson has scored at least one touchdown in four of his last five October appearances with the Patriots as underdogs.
- Hunter Henry has recorded 41+ receiving yards in each of the Patriots’ last five October games as underdogs.
- Rhamondre Stevenson has recorded 77+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Patriots’ last five games against NFC North opponents.
- Rhamondre Stevenson has recorded 51+ rushing yards in each of his last four regular season appearances with the Patriots as underdogs against NFC opponents.
- Heading into Week 7, Elijah Ponder ranks T1st in the league for fumbles recovered (2) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Bears – 10 different players have recorded at least one touchdown this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 7.
- Bears – four different players have recorded 50+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 7.
- Patriots – 10 different players have recorded at least one touchdown this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 7.
- Patriots – four different players have recorded 50+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 7.
Bears vs Patriots Prediction
New England comes into this matchup on a three game winning streak and they have scored 26, 45, and 29 points during that span. The Patriots are 1-2 on the road this year, while the Bears are 2-1 at home. Chicago has won three of their last four games and Williams is back from injury. The Bears have been pretty solid offensively all season, but the defense has shown a ton of improvement. I think this could be a lower scoring game, as both defenses are locked in, so I like the under here.