In this article, we will formulate a Bears vs Raiders Prediction for this NFL Week 4 game on Sunday, September 28th at the Allegiant Stadium. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.
Las Vegas Raiders Preview
The Las Vegas Raiders have a 1-2 record this season and are sitting in 2nd place of the AFC West. They are 1-2 ATS, 1-2 in Over/Under and have a 0-1 home record and 1-1 away record. The Raiders are coming off a 24-41 road loss to Washington Commanders and are playing the Indianapolis Colts and Tennessee Titans next.
Offensively, the Raiders average 17.7 points per game, which ranks 26th in the NFL. Defensively, they allow 24.7 points per game, which is 21st. Las Vegas averages 320.3 total yards per game, with 72.3 rushing yards and 248.0 passing yards per game. They allow 351.0 total yards per game, with 72.3 rushing and 248.0 passing yards per game.
Geno Smith leads the Raiders with 831 passing yards and 63.2% completed passes. Ashton Jeanty leads the team in rushing yards, with 144, while Jakobi Meyers has a team-high 17 caught passes for 228 receiving yards, and has zero touchdowns. Defensively, Devin White has a team-high 25 total tackles, 7 of them solo. Leki Fotu leads the Raiders in sacks, with three, while Isaiah Pola-Mao has one interception.
Chicago Bears Preview
The Chicago Bears have a 1-2 record this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the NFC North. They are 1-2 ATS, 2-1 in Over/Under and have a 1-1 home record and 0-1 away record. The Bears are coming off a 31-14 home win against the Dallas Cowboys and are playing the Washington Commanders and New Orleans Saints next.
Offensively, the Bears average 25.3 points per game, which ranks 9th in the NFL. Defensively, they allow 31.0 points per game, which is 28th. Chicago averages 347.0 total yards per game, with 113.3 rushing yards and 233.7 passing yards per game. They allow 387.0 total yards per game, with 139.3 rushing and 247.7 passing yards per game.
Caleb Williams leads the Bears with 715 passing yards and 63.4% completed passes. D’Andre Swift leads the team in rushing yards, with 149, while Rome Odunze has a team-high 16 caught passes for 227 receiving yards, and has four touchdowns. Defensively, Tremaine Edmunds has a team-high 29 total tackles, 15 of them solo. Montez Sweat leads the Bears in sacks, with one, while Nahshon Wright has one interception.
Chicago Bears @ Las Vegas Raiders Betting Trends: Week 4
Why the Las Vegas Raiders will win
- The Bears have lost each of their last 10 road games following a win.
- The favorites have won each of the Bears’ last eight Week 4 games.
- The Bears have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight road games against teams that held a losing record.
- The favorites have covered the spread in seven of the Bears’ last eight Week 4 games.
- The Bears have lost the first quarter in each of their last four games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Bears have lost the first half in each of their last 10 road games in September.
- The Raiders have scored the first touchdown in each of their last five games as favorites following a road loss.
Why the Chicago Bears will win
- The underdogs have won each of the last four games between the Bears and Raiders.
- The Raiders have lost each of their last four September games as favorites.
- The Raiders have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five September games as favorites.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the last four games between the Bears and Raiders.
- The Raiders have lost the first quarter in each of their last three home games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Raiders have lost the first half in each of their last four games.
- The Bears have scored the first touchdown in six of their last eight games as underdogs following a win.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Bears’ last four road games against AFC opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Five of the Raiders’ last six games following a loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of the last five Sunday games at Allegiant Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
Las Vegas Raiders Player Prop Facts
- Jakobi Meyers has scored the first touchdown in each of the Raiders’ last three games as favorites following a road loss.
- Jakobi Meyers has scored a touchdown in each of his last seven appearances with his team as a favorite against NFC opponents.
- Geno Smith has recorded 289+ passing yards in each of his last four September appearances against NFC opponents.
- Geno Smith has recorded 23+ completions in five of his last six appearances with his team as a home favorite.
- Geno Smith has recorded 13+ rushing yards in each of his last five appearances with his team as a favorite against NFC opponents.
- Tre Tucker has recorded 56+ rushing and receiving yards in five of the Raiders’ last six games as home favorites.
- Tre Tucker has recorded 41+ receiving yards in each of the Raiders’ last six games as home favorites.
- Heading into Week 4, Tre Tucker ranks T1st in the NFL in touchdowns (4) this season.
Chicago Bears Player Prop Facts
- Rome Odunze has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Bears’ last four September games as underdogs.
- D.J. Moore has recorded 52+ receiving yards in each of the Bears’ last four road games against AFC opponents.
- Caleb Williams has recorded 34+ rushing yards in each of the Bears’ last five games following a win.
- Caleb Williams has recorded 23+ completions in each of the Bears’ last three games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
- D.J. Moore has recorded 61+ rushing and receiving yards in three of his last four Week 4 appearances.
- Heading into Week 4, Tremaine Edmunds ranks T1st in the NFL in interceptions (2) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Raiders – three different players have recorded 70+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 4.
- Raiders – three different players have recorded 80+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 4.
- Bears – two different players have recorded 100+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 4.
- Heading into Week 4, the Bears rank 32nd in the NFL in 4th down percentage (25.0%) this season.
Bears vs Raiders Prediction
In their previous meeting in 2023, the Bears won 30-12 at home, and are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against the Raiders. Both teams are tied 2-2 wins in their last 4 meetings in Las Vegas.
In this Bears vs Raiders Prediction, the Raiders are coming as -1-point home favorites, with the total set at 48 points. Both teams have identical records this season, with the Raiders having lost their only home game, and the Bears having lost their only road game. Las Vegas ranks on the bottom half of the NFL both offensively and defensively, while Chicago has a top-10 offense, and have more yards per game than their opponents. The Bears also have a good history against the Raiders in recent years, so my lean in this game is the Chicago Bears on the moneyline on the road.