In this article, we will formulate a Bengals vs Dolphins Prediction for this NFL Week 4 game on Sunday, October 11th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.
Miami Dolphins Preview
The Miami Dolphins have a 0-4 record this season are sitting on the 4th place of the AFC East. They are coming off a 10-15 road loss against the Vikings and will face the Jets, the Patriots and the Lions next.
Offensively, the Dolphins average 11.5 points per game, ranking 32nd in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 25.3 points per game, which is 21st. Miami averages 267.5 total yards per game (163.5 passing and 104 rushing), while allowing 335.5 total yards per game (109 rushing and 226.5 passing).
Malik Willis leads the Dolphins with 712 passing yards with 56.3% completed passes and one touchdown. Ollie Gordon leads the team in rushing yards with 148, while Malik Washington has 17 receptions for a team-high 219 receiving yards. Defensively, Jacob Rodriguez has a team-high 46 total tackles (21 of them solo), while Zach Sieler leads the team in sacks, with 2.
Cincinnati Bengals Preview
The Cincinnati Bengals have a 2-2 record this season are sitting on the 3rd place of the AFC North. They are coming off a 17-22 home loss against the Jaguars and will face the Ravens, the Titans and the Falcons next.
Offensively, the Bengals average 24.3 points per game, ranking 14th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 21.3 points per game, which is 13th. Cincinnati averages 351.8 total yards per game (277.5 passing and 74.3 rushing), while allowing 347.5 total yards per game (99.5 rushing and 248 passing).
Joe Burrow leads the Bengals with 1171 passing yards with 71.3% completed passes and seven touchdowns. Chase Brown leads the team in rushing yards with 207, while Tee Higgins has 25 receptions for a team-high 401 receiving yards. Defensively, Demetrius Knight has a team-high 34 total tackles (14 of them solo), while Dexter Lawrence leads the team in sacks, with 3.
Cincinnati Bengals @ Miami Dolphins Betting Trends: Week 5
Why the Miami Dolphins will win
- The Bengals have lost each of their last nine games against AFC East opponents on a losing streak.
- The underdogs have won four of the Bengals’ last five games.
- The home team has covered the spread in six of the last seven games between the Bengals and Dolphins.
- The Bengals have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six road games without Joe Burrow.
- The Dolphins have won the first half in six of their last seven home games in October.
- The Bengals have lost the first quarter in each of their last three games as favorites against AFC opponents.
Why the Cincinnati Bengals will win
- The Dolphins have lost each of their last 11 October games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
- The Bengals have won each of their last eight games as favorites without Drew Sample.
- The Bengals have covered the spread in each of their last eight Sunday games played on the East Coast.
- The Dolphins have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as underdogs against AFC North opponents.
- The Bengals have won the first quarter in eight of their last 10 games against AFC East opponents.
- The Bengals have won the first half in each of their last seven road games against AFC East opponents.
- The Bengals have scored the first touchdown in nine of their last 10 games against AFC East opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Dolphins’ last six games without Greg Dulcich have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Bengals’ last five games as favorites without Joe Burrow have gone OVER the total points line.
- Four of the last five Sunday games at Hard Rock Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
Miami Dolphins Player Prop Facts
- Ollie Gordon II has scored a touchdown in each of the Dolphins’ last two games.
- Malik Willis has recorded 39+ rushing yards in each of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against AFC opponents.
- Greg Dulcich has recorded 31+ receiving yards in each of the Dolphins’ last five games played on the East Coast.
- Malik Willis has recorded 197+ passing yards in five of his last six appearances as a starter.
- Malik Washington has recorded 47+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Dolphins’ last four games.
- Heading into Week 5, Jacob Rodriguez has recorded the most tackles in a single game this season (18 vs Vikings, Week 4).
Cincinnati Bengals Player Prop Facts
- Chase Brown has scored two or more touchdowns in three of the Bengals’ last four games as favorites against teams that held a losing record.
- Samaje Perine has recorded 25+ rushing yards in four of the Bengals’ last five road games against AFC East opponents.
- Joe Burrow has recorded 24+ completions in each of his last nine appearances following a loss.
- Joe Burrow has recorded 251+ passing yards in each of the Bengals’ last six games as favorites following a loss.
- Chase Brown has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Bengals’ last six games as favorites following a home loss.
- Samaje Perine has recorded 10+ receiving yards in each of his last 10 October road appearances.
- Samaje Perine has recorded 24+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of his last eight regular season appearances against AFC East opponents.
- Heading into Week 5, Evan McPherson ranks 1st in the NFL in 50+ yard field goals made (5) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Dolphins – three different players have recorded 50+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 5.
- Dolphins – two different players have recorded 70+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 5.
- Bengals – five different players have recorded 60+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 5.
- Bengals – five different players have recorded 70+ receiving yards in a game this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 5.
Bengals vs Dolphins Prediction
In this Bengals vs Dolphins Prediction, the Bengals are coming as -7.5 road favorites. The Dolphins have been terrible this season, going winless with a 1-3 against the spread record, but the Bengals have not been much better lately, as they have lost and failed to cover their last two games. I simply cannot lay -7.5 on the road with a team that has allowed almost 80 points in three of its last four games combined, while the Dolphins are coming off their best defensive effort of the season. Take the Dolphins and grab the +7.5 in this one.