In this article we will formulate a Bengals vs Jaguars prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, October 4th at Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 4 matchup.
Cincinnati Bengals Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Bengals are 2-1 this season after they lost to the Steelers by a score of 30-27 in their last game. Cincinnati was tied 17-17 at halftime and they led 27-24 in the fourth, but they allowed two field goals in the last 8:45 for the loss. The Bengals were out gained by a total of 411-352, went 6-12 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 2-1 in the game. Joe Burrow threw for 282 yards and three touchdowns, while Ja’Marr Chase caught nine passes for 98 yards and one score. Chase Brown rushed 13 times for 61 yards in the defeat.
Prior to that game, Cincinnati defeated the Texans by a score of 20-6 and the Buccaneers by a score of 33-27. The Bengals have scored 26.7 points per game with 232.0 passing yards and 91.3 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 21.0 points against per game this season. Joe Burrow has thrown for 743 yards with six touchdowns and one interception, while Tee Higgins has 14 receptions for 244 yards and one score this season.
Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Preview
The Jacksonville Jaguars are 2-1 this year after they defeated the Patriots by a score of 35-6 last week. Jacksonville led 14-3 at halftime and scored the first 14 points in the second half for the blowout win. The Jaguars were out gained by a total of 317-315, went 8-12 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 3-1 in the game. Trevor Lawrence threw for 182 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception, while Jakobi Meyers caught seven passes for 64 yards and one score. Bhayshul Tuten rushed 15 times for 73 yards and one TD in the win.
Prior to that game, Jacksonville lost to the Broncos by a score of 20-13, but did beat the Browns by a score of 34-10 before that. The Jaguars have scored 27.3 points per game with 195.0 passing yards and 119.3 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 12.0 points against per game this season. Trevor Lawrence has thrown for 616 yards with seven touchdowns and two interceptions, while Parker Washington has 15 catches for 221 yards and two scores this year.
Why the Cincinnati Bengals will win
- The Bengals have won each of their last eight home games without Drew Sample.
- The Jaguars have lost nine of their last 10 Week 4 road games against AFC opponents.
- The Jaguars have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games without Brenton Strange.
- The Bengals have covered the spread in each of their last five games against AFC South opponents.
- The Jaguars have lost the first half in each of their last four games in October.
- The Bengals have won the first quarter in three of their last four Sunday games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Bengals have scored the first touchdown in seven of their last eight games as home favorites.
Why the Jacksonville Jaguars will win
- The Jaguars have won each of their last six October games against AFC opponents.
- The Bengals have lost four of their last five October games as favorites against AFC opponents.
- The Jaguars have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games without Travis Hunter.
- The Bengals have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five home games in October.
- The Jaguars have won the first half in seven of their last eight October games against AFC opponents.
- The Jaguars have won the first quarter in four of their last five games as underdogs.
- The Jaguars have scored the first touchdown in each of their last eight games following a home win.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Bengals’ last seven games as favorites following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of the Jaguars’ last six games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.
- Four of the last five Sunday games at Paycor Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
Cincinnati Bengals Player Prop Facts
- Joe Burrow has recorded 25+ completions in each of his last six appearances following a road loss.
- Chase Brown has recorded 90+ rushing and receiving yards in nine of the Bengals’ last 10 home games against AFC opponents.
- Ja’Marr Chase has recorded 86+ receiving yards in each of his last eight home appearances against AFC opponents.
- Samaje Perine has recorded 16+ rushing yards in seven of his last eight appearances following a loss.
- Chase Brown has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Bengals’ last seven games as favorites following a loss.
- Joe Flacco has recorded 221+ passing yards in each of his six previous home appearances against the Jaguars.
- Heading into Week 4, Evan McPherson ranks 1st in the NFL in 50+ yard field goals made (5) this season.
Jacksonville Jaguars Player Prop Facts
- Chris Rodriguez has scored a touchdown in each of his last five appearances against teams that held a winning record.
- Brian Thomas has recorded 31+ receiving yards in 14 of his last 15 appearances with the Jaguars as underdogs.
- Trevor Lawrence has recorded 264+ passing yards in three of the Jaguars’ last four games as underdogs against AFC North opponents.
- Trevor Lawrence has recorded 24+ completions in each of the Jaguars’ last four games as underdogs against AFC North opponents.
- Trevor Lawrence has recorded 26+ rushing yards in each of the Jaguars’ last six games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
- Heading into Week 4, Trevor Lawrence has recorded the equal-most passing touchdowns in a single game this season (4 vs Browns, Week 1).
Matchup/League Facts
- Bengals – two different players have recorded 90+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 4.
- Bengals – six different players have recorded 1.0 sacks or more in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 4.
- Jaguars – four different players have recorded one interception or more in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 4.
- Heading into Week 4, the Jaguars rank 1st in the NFL in points allowed per game (12.0) this season.
Bengals vs Jaguars Prediction
Cincinnati comes into this matchup after a tough loss to the Steelers last week and they have allowed 27 and 30 points in two of their three games. The Bengals have a very good offense with Burrow at QB, but the defense has to be better. Jacksonville blew out the Patriots last week and Lawrence has been very solid under center. The Jaguars also have a very good defense, as they have allowed just 36 points through three games. This should be a great game, but I have to side with Jacksonville and the points here.