In this article, we will formulate a Bengals vs Packers Prediction for this NFL Week 5 game on Sunday, October 12th at the Lambeau Field. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.
Green Bay Packers Preview
The Green Bay Packers have a 2-1-1 record this season and are sitting on the second place of the NFC North. They are 2-2 ATS, 1-3 in Over/Under and have a 2-0 home record and 0-1-1 away record. The Packers are coming off a 40-40 road tie against the Dallas Cowboys and are playing the Steelers and the Cardinals next.
Offensively, the Packers average 26 points per game, which ranks 9th in the NFL. Defensively, they allow 21 points per game, which is 11th. Green Bay averages 347.3 total yards per game, with 214.5 passing yards and 132.8 rushing yards per game. They allow 283.3 total yards per game, with 141.3 rushing and 142 passing yards per game.
Jordan Love leads the Packers with 1000 passing yards with 69.4% completed passes and 8 touchdowns. Josh Jacobs leads the team in rushing yards, with 266, while Tucker Kraft has a team-high 16 receptions for 225 receiving yards, and two touchdowns. Defensively, Quay Walker has a team-high 42 total tackles, 22 of them solo. Rashan Gary leads the Packers in sacks, with 4.5, while Xavier McKinney and Evan Williams each have one interception.
Cincinnati Bengals Preview
The Cincinnati Bengals have a 2-3 record this season and are sitting on the second place of the AFC North. They are 1-4 ATS, 3-2 in Over/Under and have a 1-1 home record and 1-2 away record. The Bengals are coming off a 24-37 road loss to the Detroit Lions and are playing the Steelers and the Jets next.
Offensively, the Bengals average 17 points per game, which ranks 29th in the NFL. Defensively, they allow 31.2 points per game, which is 30th. Cincinnati averages 228.6 total yards per game, with 171 passing yards and 57 rushing yards per game. They allow 391.2 total yards per game, with 272 passing and 119.2 rushing yards per game.
Jake Browning leads the Bengals with 757 passing yards and 64.5% completed passes. Chase Brown leads the team in rushing yards, with 160, while Ja’Marr Chase has a team-high 32 receptions for 374 receiving yards, and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Demetrius Knight has a team-high 39 total tackles, 23 of them solo. Trey Hendrickson leads the Bengals in sacks, with 4.0, while Jordan Battle has a team-high two interceptions.
Cincinnati Bengals @ Green Bay Packers Betting Trends: Week 6
Why the Green Bay Packers will win
- The favorites have won each of the Bengals’ last 10 games.
- The Bengals have lost each of their last eight games as underdogs.
- The home team has covered the spread in seven of the Packers’ last eight games.
- The Bengals have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four road games.
- The Packers have won the first quarter in six of their last seven home games.
- The Packers have scored the first touchdown in each of their last eight games against AFC opponents.
- The favorites have won the first half in nine of the Bengals’ last 10 games.
Why the Cincinnati Bengals will win
- The Packers have lost each of their last two games as heavy favorites (>-7.0 points).
- The Bengals have won seven of their last eight road games against NFC opponents.
- The Bengals have covered the spread in each of their last six games following a home loss.
- The Packers have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games as favorites against AFC opponents.
- The Bengals have won the first half in each of their last five games following a home loss.
- The Bengals have won the first quarter in three of their last four October games as road underdogs.
- The Bengals have scored the first touchdown in five of their last six Week 6 road games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Bengals’ last five Sunday games as underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.
- Eleven of the Packers’ last 13 games after coming off overtime have gone OVER the total points line.
Green Bay Packers Player Prop Facts
- Josh Jacobs has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Packers’ last seven games as home favorites.
- Josh Jacobs has recorded 92+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last seven October appearances against AFC opponents.
- Josh Jacobs has recorded 16+ receiving yards in seven of his last eight October home appearances.
- Josh Jacobs has recorded 76+ rushing yards in each of his five previous October appearances with his team as a favorite against AFC opponents.
- Heading into Week 6, Romeo Doubs has recorded the equal-most receiving touchdowns in a single game this season (3 vs Cowboys, Week 4).
Cincinnati Bengals Player Prop Facts
- Tee Higgins has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Bengals’ last four day games against teams with a winning record.
- Samaje Perine has recorded 10+ receiving yards in each of his last nine October road appearances.
- Samaje Perine has recorded 17+ rushing yards in each of his last six Sunday appearances with the Bengals as underdogs.
- Joe Flacco has recorded 238+ passing yards in seven of his nine previous Week 6 road appearances.
- Samaje Perine has recorded 24+ rushing and receiving yards in 13 of his last 14 regular season appearances against NFC opponents.
- Joe Flacco has recorded 21+ completions in each of his nine previous Week 6 road appearances.
- Heading into Week 6, Ryan Rehkow ranks 1st amongst qualified players for gross average yards per punt (53.1) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 6, the Packers rank 1st in the NFL in 3rd down percentage (53.7%) this season.
- Heading into Week 6, the Packers rank 1st in the NFL in H1 opponent points per game (5.5) this season.
- Heading into Week 6, the Bengals rank 32nd in the NFL in yards per game (228.6) this season.
- Heading into Week 6, the Bengals rank 32nd in the NFL in rushing yards per game (57.0) this season.
Bengals vs Packers Prediction
In their previous meeting in 2021, the Packers won 25-22 on the road in overtime. Both teams are tied 2-2 in their four meetings, and are 1-1 in their two meetings in Green Bay. Over is 3-1 in their four meetings.
In this Bengals vs Packers Prediction, the Packers are coming as -14-point home favorites, with the total set at 44.5 points. The Packers have won and covered both of their home games this season, while on the other hand, the Bengals have been struggling lately, with three straight losses after winning their first two games of the season. Cincinnati has been a bottom-4 team in the NFL both offensively and defensively, and has been losing by an average of 14.2 points this season. Take the Green Bay Packers and lay the -14 points at home.